Recent polling averages for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election place Die Linke in a tight three-way contest with the CDU and AfD, with the party’s support holding near 19-22% in late August surveys. This positioning reflects gains from 2023 levels driven by voter focus on housing affordability and living costs under lead candidate Elif Eralp, alongside a fragmented field where smaller parties risk missing the threshold. Seat projections from these shares cluster in the low-to-mid 30s, with modest upside potential if turnout or late shifts favor the left. The narrow gap among top parties leaves room for variance in final distribution, consistent with trader emphasis on the 30-39 seat band as the most probable range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano35-39 41%
30-34 31%
40+ 25%
25-29 6.5%
$25,429 Wol.
$25,429 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
<1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
7%
30-34
31%
35-39
41%
40+
25%
35-39 41%
30-34 31%
40+ 25%
25-29 6.5%
$25,429 Wol.
$25,429 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$918 Wol.
<1%
20-24
$1,724 Wol.
<1%
25-29
$4,296 Wol.
7%
30-34
$4,333 Wol.
31%
35-39
$4,562 Wol.
41%
40+
$9,595 Wol.
25%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling averages for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election place Die Linke in a tight three-way contest with the CDU and AfD, with the party’s support holding near 19-22% in late August surveys. This positioning reflects gains from 2023 levels driven by voter focus on housing affordability and living costs under lead candidate Elif Eralp, alongside a fragmented field where smaller parties risk missing the threshold. Seat projections from these shares cluster in the low-to-mid 30s, with modest upside potential if turnout or late shifts favor the left. The narrow gap among top parties leaves room for variance in final distribution, consistent with trader emphasis on the 30-39 seat band as the most probable range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$25,429Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling averages for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election place Die Linke in a tight three-way contest with the CDU and AfD, with the party’s support holding near 19-22% in late August surveys. This positioning reflects gains from 2023 levels driven by voter focus on housing affordability and living costs under lead candidate Elif Eralp, alongside a fragmented field where smaller parties risk missing the threshold. Seat projections from these shares cluster in the low-to-mid 30s, with modest upside potential if turnout or late shifts favor the left. The narrow gap among top parties leaves room for variance in final distribution, consistent with trader emphasis on the 30-39 seat band as the most probable range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Wolumen
$25,429Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election place Die Linke in a tight three-way contest with the CDU and AfD, with the party’s support holding near 19-22% in late August surveys. This positioning reflects gains from 2023 levels driven by voter focus on housing affordability and living costs under lead candidate Elif Eralp, alongside a fragmented field where smaller parties risk missing the threshold. Seat projections from these shares cluster in the low-to-mid 30s, with modest upside potential if turnout or late shifts favor the left. The narrow gap among top parties leaves room for variance in final distribution, consistent with trader emphasis on the 30-39 seat band as the most probable range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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