Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a narrow contest among the CDU, Die Linke, AfD, and Greens, each clustered between roughly 17 and 22 percent, with the SPD trailing. This multi-party squeeze, combined with AfD gains from its 9 percent share in the 2023 repeat vote, has produced volatile seat projections that keep the 29–35 seat range as the clearest area of trader consensus. Voter concerns over housing costs, violent crime, and urban infrastructure have sustained AfD support near 18 percent across recent surveys, while no single party appears positioned for a decisive breakthrough. The remaining two weeks before voting, including final turnout patterns in eastern districts and any last-minute campaign developments, could still shift the final distribution within or beyond that band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano35+ 29.1%
29-31 25%
32-34 24%
26-28 13%
$46,732 Wol.
$46,732 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
3%
20-22
1%
23-25
4%
26-28
13%
29-31
25%
32-34
24%
35+
29%
35+ 29.1%
29-31 25%
32-34 24%
26-28 13%
$46,732 Wol.
$46,732 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$1,935 Wol.
3%
20-22
$6,740 Wol.
1%
23-25
$2,818 Wol.
4%
26-28
$3,387 Wol.
13%
29-31
$4,190 Wol.
25%
32-34
$3,984 Wol.
24%
35+
$23,679 Wol.
29%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a narrow contest among the CDU, Die Linke, AfD, and Greens, each clustered between roughly 17 and 22 percent, with the SPD trailing. This multi-party squeeze, combined with AfD gains from its 9 percent share in the 2023 repeat vote, has produced volatile seat projections that keep the 29–35 seat range as the clearest area of trader consensus. Voter concerns over housing costs, violent crime, and urban infrastructure have sustained AfD support near 18 percent across recent surveys, while no single party appears positioned for a decisive breakthrough. The remaining two weeks before voting, including final turnout patterns in eastern districts and any last-minute campaign developments, could still shift the final distribution within or beyond that band.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$46,732Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a narrow contest among the CDU, Die Linke, AfD, and Greens, each clustered between roughly 17 and 22 percent, with the SPD trailing. This multi-party squeeze, combined with AfD gains from its 9 percent share in the 2023 repeat vote, has produced volatile seat projections that keep the 29–35 seat range as the clearest area of trader consensus. Voter concerns over housing costs, violent crime, and urban infrastructure have sustained AfD support near 18 percent across recent surveys, while no single party appears positioned for a decisive breakthrough. The remaining two weeks before voting, including final turnout patterns in eastern districts and any last-minute campaign developments, could still shift the final distribution within or beyond that band.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Wolumen
$46,732Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a narrow contest among the CDU, Die Linke, AfD, and Greens, each clustered between roughly 17 and 22 percent, with the SPD trailing. This multi-party squeeze, combined with AfD gains from its 9 percent share in the 2023 repeat vote, has produced volatile seat projections that keep the 29–35 seat range as the clearest area of trader consensus. Voter concerns over housing costs, violent crime, and urban infrastructure have sustained AfD support near 18 percent across recent surveys, while no single party appears positioned for a decisive breakthrough. The remaining two weeks before voting, including final turnout patterns in eastern districts and any last-minute campaign developments, could still shift the final distribution within or beyond that band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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