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Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

icon for Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

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Polymarket
NOWE

Up

0% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Expanded eligibility rules for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election have added hundreds of thousands of new voters through higher naturalization rates and first-time participation by 16- and 17-year-olds, enlarging the pool well beyond the 2.43 million eligible in the 2023 repeat vote that recorded 62.9% turnout. A tight multi-party contest—reflected in recent polls showing CDU, Linke, AfD, and Greens clustered in the high teens—has intensified mobilization efforts across the spectrum. No offsetting procedural hurdles or major disruptions have emerged to dampen participation expectations, supporting trader consensus that turnout will exceed the prior benchmark.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Wolumen
$2,352
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Expanded eligibility rules for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election have added hundreds of thousands of new voters through higher naturalization rates and first-time participation by 16- and 17-year-olds, enlarging the pool well beyond the 2.43 million eligible in the 2023 repeat vote that recorded 62.9% turnout. A tight multi-party contest—reflected in recent polls showing CDU, Linke, AfD, and Greens clustered in the high teens—has intensified mobilization efforts across the spectrum. No offsetting procedural hurdles or major disruptions have emerged to dampen participation expectations, supporting trader consensus that turnout will exceed the prior benchmark.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Wolumen
$2,352
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" to dzienny rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, czy cena Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? zakończy wyżej ("W górę") czy niżej ("W dół") od ceny otwarcia w oknie dzienny. Obecne prawdopodobieństwo to 63% na "Up". Ceny aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę.

"Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" to aktywny krótkoterminowy rynek na Polymarket. Wolumen może narastać szybko w miarę trwania okna dzienny — wskocz wcześnie, aby pomóc ustalić kursy.

Aby handlować na "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?", zdecyduj, czy cena Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? o 12:00 ET w dniu September 20 będzie wyższa ("W górę") czy niższa ("W dół") od ceny o 12:00 ET w dniu August 6.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" to 63% na "Up", co oznacza, że tłum Polymarket przypisuje 63% szansy, że cena Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? zakończy up. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym. W ciągu pełnego dnia kursy odzwierciedlają ewoluujące nastroje.

Rynek "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" rozstrzyga się na podstawie porównania ceny Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? o 12:00 ET w dniu September 20 z ceną o 12:00 ET w dniu August 6, używając cen zamknięcia 1-minutowych świec Binance BERLIN-STATE-ELECTION-TURNOUT/USDT.