The Bank of Korea’s August 27 policy meeting follows its July 25 basis point hike to 2.75 percent, the first tightening since 2023, implemented to counter June inflation at 3.2 percent and support the won. July CPI moderated to 2.8 percent year-over-year—below consensus—while core inflation edged higher to 2.5 percent amid fading energy effects but persistent service and housing pressures. Semiconductor-driven growth forecasts near 2.6 percent and improved external balances have reduced downside risks, tilting trader-implied odds toward no change at 57.5 percent versus a further 25 basis point hike at 41.5 percent. Markets will focus on the latest inflation trajectory, FX volatility, and any shift in the BoK’s forward guidance for additional tightening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Korea decision in August?
No Change 57%
25 bps hike 42%
25 bps cut <1%
50+ bps cut <1%
$35,700 Wol.
$35,700 Wol.
50+ bps cut
<1%
25 bps cut
1%
No Change
57%
25 bps hike
42%
50+ bps hike
<1%
No Change 57%
25 bps hike 42%
25 bps cut <1%
50+ bps cut <1%
$35,700 Wol.
$35,700 Wol.
50+ bps cut
<1%
25 bps cut
1%
No Change
57%
25 bps hike
42%
50+ bps hike
<1%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Rynek otwarty: May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s August 27 policy meeting follows its July 25 basis point hike to 2.75 percent, the first tightening since 2023, implemented to counter June inflation at 3.2 percent and support the won. July CPI moderated to 2.8 percent year-over-year—below consensus—while core inflation edged higher to 2.5 percent amid fading energy effects but persistent service and housing pressures. Semiconductor-driven growth forecasts near 2.6 percent and improved external balances have reduced downside risks, tilting trader-implied odds toward no change at 57.5 percent versus a further 25 basis point hike at 41.5 percent. Markets will focus on the latest inflation trajectory, FX volatility, and any shift in the BoK’s forward guidance for additional tightening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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