Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.5%, has anchored expectations for the August print scheduled for September 11, as persistent shelter and services inflation continue to offset easing in goods prices. Forecasts from institutions including TD Securities highlight a potential m/m headline rebound near 0.39% driven by gasoline and food components, while broader outlooks cluster around 3.3–3.4% amid sticky supercore measures and elevated energy contributions on a 12-month basis. Market-implied probabilities favor 3.4% and 3.3% as leading outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on gradual moderation tempered by labor market resilience and recent commodity rebounds, with limited scope for sharper downside absent weaker-than-expected services data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAugust Inflation US - Annual
August Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 45%
3.3% 31%
3.5% 18%
3.2% 8.8%
$71,121 Wol.
$71,121 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.9%
<1%
3.0%
1%
3.1%
2%
3.2%
9%
3.3%
31%
3.4%
45%
3.5%
18%
3.6%
2%
3.7%
2%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
≥4.0%
1%
3.4% 45%
3.3% 31%
3.5% 18%
3.2% 8.8%
$71,121 Wol.
$71,121 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.9%
$1,555 Wol.
<1%
3.0%
$1,527 Wol.
1%
3.1%
$1,626 Wol.
2%
3.2%
$2,379 Wol.
9%
3.3%
$15,869 Wol.
31%
3.4%
$27,613 Wol.
45%
3.5%
$11,665 Wol.
18%
3.6%
$2,290 Wol.
2%
3.7%
$1,569 Wol.
2%
3.8%
$1,174 Wol.
1%
3.9%
$1,266 Wol.
<1%
≥4.0%
$2,588 Wol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.5%, has anchored expectations for the August print scheduled for September 11, as persistent shelter and services inflation continue to offset easing in goods prices. Forecasts from institutions including TD Securities highlight a potential m/m headline rebound near 0.39% driven by gasoline and food components, while broader outlooks cluster around 3.3–3.4% amid sticky supercore measures and elevated energy contributions on a 12-month basis. Market-implied probabilities favor 3.4% and 3.3% as leading outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on gradual moderation tempered by labor market resilience and recent commodity rebounds, with limited scope for sharper downside absent weaker-than-expected services data.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$71,121Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.5%, has anchored expectations for the August print scheduled for September 11, as persistent shelter and services inflation continue to offset easing in goods prices. Forecasts from institutions including TD Securities highlight a potential m/m headline rebound near 0.39% driven by gasoline and food components, while broader outlooks cluster around 3.3–3.4% amid sticky supercore measures and elevated energy contributions on a 12-month basis. Market-implied probabilities favor 3.4% and 3.3% as leading outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on gradual moderation tempered by labor market resilience and recent commodity rebounds, with limited scope for sharper downside absent weaker-than-expected services data.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$71,121Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.5%, has anchored expectations for the August print scheduled for September 11, as persistent shelter and services inflation continue to offset easing in goods prices. Forecasts from institutions including TD Securities highlight a potential m/m headline rebound near 0.39% driven by gasoline and food components, while broader outlooks cluster around 3.3–3.4% amid sticky supercore measures and elevated energy contributions on a 12-month basis. Market-implied probabilities favor 3.4% and 3.3% as leading outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on gradual moderation tempered by labor market resilience and recent commodity rebounds, with limited scope for sharper downside absent weaker-than-expected services data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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