Trader sentiment around Apple’s market cap by end-2026 shows a tight contest between the $4.5–5T and $5–5.5T ranges, driven by uncertainty over iPhone demand and Apple Intelligence rollout. Traders weigh services revenue growth and potential AI-driven hardware upgrades against softening China sales, Android competition in on-device models, and ongoing antitrust risks to the App Store. Recent earnings and supply-chain signals have kept probabilities balanced, with upcoming fiscal-year results and holiday-season iPhone 17 performance serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$4.50-$5.00T 29%
$5.00-$5.50T 22%
$4.00-$4.50T 20%
$5.50-$6.00T 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.50T
6%
$3.50-$4.00T
10%
$4.00-$4.50T
20%
$4.50-$5.00T
29%
$5.00-$5.50T
22%
$5.50-$6.00T
13%
$6.00T+
5%
$4.50-$5.00T 29%
$5.00-$5.50T 22%
$4.00-$4.50T 20%
$5.50-$6.00T 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.50T
$517 Wol.
6%
$3.50-$4.00T
$178 Wol.
10%
$4.00-$4.50T
$644 Wol.
20%
$4.50-$5.00T
$437 Wol.
29%
$5.00-$5.50T
$416 Wol.
22%
$5.50-$6.00T
$192 Wol.
13%
$6.00T+
$109 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Trader sentiment around Apple’s market cap by end-2026 shows a tight contest between the $4.5–5T and $5–5.5T ranges, driven by uncertainty over iPhone demand and Apple Intelligence rollout. Traders weigh services revenue growth and potential AI-driven hardware upgrades against softening China sales, Android competition in on-device models, and ongoing antitrust risks to the App Store. Recent earnings and supply-chain signals have kept probabilities balanced, with upcoming fiscal-year results and holiday-season iPhone 17 performance serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,493Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Trader sentiment around Apple’s market cap by end-2026 shows a tight contest between the $4.5–5T and $5–5.5T ranges, driven by uncertainty over iPhone demand and Apple Intelligence rollout. Traders weigh services revenue growth and potential AI-driven hardware upgrades against softening China sales, Android competition in on-device models, and ongoing antitrust risks to the App Store. Recent earnings and supply-chain signals have kept probabilities balanced, with upcoming fiscal-year results and holiday-season iPhone 17 performance serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Wolumen
$2,493Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment around Apple’s market cap by end-2026 shows a tight contest between the $4.5–5T and $5–5.5T ranges, driven by uncertainty over iPhone demand and Apple Intelligence rollout. Traders weigh services revenue growth and potential AI-driven hardware upgrades against softening China sales, Android competition in on-device models, and ongoing antitrust risks to the App Store. Recent earnings and supply-chain signals have kept probabilities balanced, with upcoming fiscal-year results and holiday-season iPhone 17 performance serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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