Name: SpaceX børsnotering sluttmarkedsverdi
Start: 2025-12-06T01:34:37.744882Z
End: 2027-12-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

500 milliarder–600 milliarder

900B–1T

<500B

Gruppelementtittel: 800B–900B

600B–700B

Gruppelementtittel: 1T+

700B–800B

Ingen børsnotering før 2028

SpaceX børsnotering sluttmarkedsverdi

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Vil SpaceX ha 200 eller flere oppskytninger i 2026?

Spørsmål: Vil SpaceX sin markedsverdi være større enn $1T ved markedsstenging på IPO-dagen?

This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.

If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).

If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.

If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Vil SpaceX sin offentlige ticker være $STAR?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

SpaceX børsnotering avslutter med en markedsverdi over 1 billion dollar?

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vil Morgan Stanley eller noen av dets tilknyttede tegningsinstitusjoner være hovedtilrettelegger i SpaceX sin børsnotering?

Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:

- An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.

If SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e. SpaceX IPOs through a typical listing of their shares on a public stock exchange), this market will resolve immediately to “No”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official company communications and/or regulatory filings from SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Går SpaceX på børs gjennom Bill Ackmans "SPAR"-selskap?

This market will resolve according to DoorDash’s announced total orders for Q4 2025.

If DoorDash does not publish Q4 2025 total order figures by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be DoorDash investor relations earnings materials (https://ir.doordash.com/financials/quarterly-results/).

Vil DoorDash rapportere 900 millioner eller flere totale bestillinger i fjerde kvartal 2025?

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Vil Doge-1-måneoppdraget skytes opp før 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) unfollows Grimes (@Grimezsz) on X at any point between December 10, 2025, 2PM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If either of the ‘@elonmusk’ or ‘@Grimezsz’ X accounts are deleted or disabled this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk X account (@elonmusk), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vil Elon Musk slutte å følge Grimes innen 31. januar?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.

Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.

En ny Elon-baby innen 30. juni?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vil Elon Musk være med på Joe Rogan før 30. juni?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Menneskelig månelanding i 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Missile/drone strikes which are shot down or don't hit the terminal will not be considered for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Vil oljeterminalen på Kharg-øya bli rammet innen 31. januar?

Spotify is expected to release the earnings report for Q4 2025 on February 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the "Total Monthly Active Users" figure as reported by Spotify in the Q4 2025 earnings report. The relevant data can be found in the shareholder slide deck.

If the reported value falls exactly between brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the relevant figure or the earnings report is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the data from the most recently released report.

SpaceX børsnotering sluttmarkedsverdi

<500B
$109,011 Omsetn.
1%

500 milliarder–600 milliarder
$100,728 Omsetn.
1%

600B–700B
$99,660 Omsetn.
3%

700B–800B
$91,002 Omsetn.
1%

Gruppelementtittel: 800B–900B
$146,707 Omsetn.
1%

900B–1T
$106,658 Omsetn.
3%

Gruppelementtittel: 1T+
$239,744 Omsetn.
78%

Ingen børsnotering før 2028
$104,478 Omsetn.
14%

Markedskontekst

SpaceX børsnotering sluttmarkedsverdi

Regler

SpaceX børsnotering sluttmarkedsverdi

Markedskontekst

SpaceX børsnotering sluttmarkedsverdi

Om

SpaceX børsnotering sluttmarkedsverdi

<500B$109,011 Omsetn.1%Kjøp Ja1.1¢Kjøp Nei99.1¢

500 milliarder–600 milliarder$100,728 Omsetn.1%Kjøp Ja1.5¢Kjøp Nei98.8¢

600B–700B$99,660 Omsetn.3%Kjøp Ja2.8¢Kjøp Nei97.5¢

700B–800B$91,002 Omsetn.1%Kjøp Ja0.7¢Kjøp Nei99.5¢

Gruppelementtittel: 800B–900B$146,707 Omsetn.1%Kjøp Ja1.1¢Kjøp Nei99.0¢

900B–1T$106,658 Omsetn.3%Kjøp Ja2.7¢Kjøp Nei97.4¢

Gruppelementtittel: 1T+$239,744 Omsetn.78%Kjøp Ja79¢Kjøp Nei23¢

Ingen børsnotering før 2028$104,478 Omsetn.14%Kjøp Ja15¢Kjøp Nei88¢

Markedskontekst

SpaceX børsnotering sluttmarkedsverdi

Regler

SpaceX børsnotering sluttmarkedsverdi

Markedskontekst

SpaceX børsnotering sluttmarkedsverdi

Om

<500B
$109,011 Omsetn.
1%

500 milliarder–600 milliarder
$100,728 Omsetn.
1%

600B–700B
$99,660 Omsetn.
3%

700B–800B
$91,002 Omsetn.
1%

Gruppelementtittel: 800B–900B
$146,707 Omsetn.
1%

900B–1T
$106,658 Omsetn.
3%

Gruppelementtittel: 1T+
$239,744 Omsetn.
78%

Ingen børsnotering før 2028
$104,478 Omsetn.
14%