This is a market on whether U.S. GDP growth will be higher than 4.9% when the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases its “advance estimate” of US GDP growth for Q1 2021. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis’s “advance estimate” of annualized real US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the first quarter of 2021, as reported in its press release announcing this figure currently scheduled for release on April 29, 8:30 AM ET (bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the BEA’s Q1 2021 advance estimate of GDP growth is greater than 4.9%. This market will resolve to “No” if the BEA’s advance estimate of GDP growth is 4.9% or lower. This market will resolve when the BEA advance estimate for Q1 2021 GDP Growth becomes available. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).


Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021?

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