This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is above 100,000 in the US for any day ranging from April 26, 2022, to August 1, 2022, inclusive, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is the CDC: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases.

To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average above 100,000. These daily checks will occur from April 26, 2022, to August 8, 2022 (inclusive). If an average above 100,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later. If it is still above 100,000 at that point, the market will be resolved. If it is 100,000 or below, then the market will not resolve based on that data point.

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022?

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