This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Joe Biden's job approval rating by Real Clear Politics will be less than or equal to 41.2% for the day of January 21, 2022.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source is the Approve rating (rounded to one decimal point) at “RCP Average” row at the table of individual polls entitled "Polling Data" https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president-biden-job-approval-7320.html.

The data for this market will be checked on January 22 2022 at 10:00 PM ET according to data published for the day of January 21 2022.

If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable, it will be checked every 24 hours until the rating for the resolution date is available. Then, the rating will be taken from the chart below the Polling Data table. If the resolution data is still not available on the resolution source a week later or Joe Biden is not the President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating.

Please note, that the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

41.2% or less

This is a group market on President Biden's average RealClearPolitics job approval rating for the resolution date, January 21 2022.

Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be 41.2% or less?

About this market