This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 42.0% for the day of May 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data for May 18 will be checked on May 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.

If for any reason it is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the approval rating for the resolution date is available. If the approval rating remains unavailable on the resolution source after 7 days or Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the available approval rating nearest to the resolution date. 

Please note, the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.0% or higher on May 18?

About this market