This is a market on whether Joe Biden's disapproval rating will be 42% or higher for the day of July 15, 2021. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, indicated by the orange trend line and number here, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution date for this market will be on July 16, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET according to data published for the day of July 15. If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by July 22, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available disapproval rating. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15?

About this market