This is a market on whether the United States of America or the European Union will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8 2022.

This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for the USA and the EU with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. 

This market will resolve to one of the aforementioned which, by the resolution source, has reported the highest 7-day case average per capita for February 8. 

The resolution source will be reviewed on February 10 2022 at 8 PM ET and - if the data for February 8 is not be available then - will be checked every 24 hours for a week. If the data is not available by then, the most recent available data will be used. 

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OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. 

Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources.

Please note, if the highest averages per capita are the same for more than one country, the winning outcome shares will be valued adequately.

USA or European Union?

This is a market group on a head-to-head comparison of 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita in various countries and the EU, on February 8 2022.

Which will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8: the USA or the European Union?

About this market