Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid Middle East conflict remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices, with WTI futures trading near $97 per barrel as of late May 2026. This has triggered sharp inventory draws, with the EIA projecting global stocks to decline by an average of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting prices around $106 per barrel through June. OPEC+ output has fallen significantly due to shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in recent months, while lowered demand forecasts reflect economic impacts from higher energy costs. Market-implied odds for near-term price thresholds reflect trader focus on whether production recovery and any strait reopening by late June can ease tightness before resolution. Weekly EIA inventory data and any diplomatic developments represent key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСырая нефть (CL) выше ___ в конце июня?
$125,471 Объем
$90
59%
$85
71%
$80
82%
$75
86%
$70
89%
$65
92%
$63
95%
$60
93%
$56
97%
$55
96%
$52
98%
$50
97%
$125,471 Объем
$90
59%
$85
71%
$80
82%
$75
86%
$70
89%
$65
92%
$63
95%
$60
93%
$56
97%
$55
96%
$52
98%
$50
97%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid Middle East conflict remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices, with WTI futures trading near $97 per barrel as of late May 2026. This has triggered sharp inventory draws, with the EIA projecting global stocks to decline by an average of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting prices around $106 per barrel through June. OPEC+ output has fallen significantly due to shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in recent months, while lowered demand forecasts reflect economic impacts from higher energy costs. Market-implied odds for near-term price thresholds reflect trader focus on whether production recovery and any strait reopening by late June can ease tightness before resolution. Weekly EIA inventory data and any diplomatic developments represent key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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