파생상품 예측 및 승률
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Frequently Asked Questions
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 파생상품.
Polymarket currently hosts 12 active markets for 파생상품 that lets you track or trade on predictions like "예수 그리스도께서 2027년 이전에 돌아오실 확률 > 5% 2월 17일 12-1일 오전?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.
Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "2월에 미국이 이란을 공격할 확률이 2월 13일까지 50% 가 넘습니까?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "확률 트럼프가 2027 년 3 월 31 일까지 __ HIT 전에 그린란드를 인수합니까?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.
As of today, the most active market is "확률 트럼프가 2027 년 3 월 31 일까지 __ HIT 전에 그린란드를 인수합니까?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 4% chance to 30%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.
It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 파생상품 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.