President Donald Trump's single verified middle-finger gesture on January 13, 2026, during a Ford plant tour in Michigan—directed at a heckler calling him a "pedophile protector"—prompted White House defense as an "appropriate" response, but no repeats have occurred in the three months since amid his packed presidential schedule of public events and policy announcements. Trader consensus prices "No" at 76.5%, reflecting the one-off nature of the incident amid institutional pressures for decorum as midterm elections approach, historical patterns of restrained executive conduct post-controversy, and absence of escalation signals from recent rallies or diplomatic engagements that could trigger similar reactions. Upcoming speeches and travel remain potential catalysts, though low odds underscore perceived barriers to recurrence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$47,064 거래량
$47,064 거래량
예
$47,064 거래량
$47,064 거래량
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
마켓 개설일: Jan 13, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's single verified middle-finger gesture on January 13, 2026, during a Ford plant tour in Michigan—directed at a heckler calling him a "pedophile protector"—prompted White House defense as an "appropriate" response, but no repeats have occurred in the three months since amid his packed presidential schedule of public events and policy announcements. Trader consensus prices "No" at 76.5%, reflecting the one-off nature of the incident amid institutional pressures for decorum as midterm elections approach, historical patterns of restrained executive conduct post-controversy, and absence of escalation signals from recent rallies or diplomatic engagements that could trigger similar reactions. Upcoming speeches and travel remain potential catalysts, though low odds underscore perceived barriers to recurrence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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