Russian forces in northern Sumy Oblast continue limited offensive operations aimed at establishing buffer zones along the Ukraine-Russia border through incremental gains in small villages such as Myropillia and nearby settlements. Ukrainian reports confirm only marginal Russian advances in recent weeks, often disputed by Kyiv as exaggerated claims without consolidation of key positions. No verified ground movements indicate a sustained push toward Sumy city itself or its critical infrastructure like the railroad station. Ongoing drone activity and artillery exchanges persist, but Ukrainian defenses and repositioning to prepared lines have contained broader progress. Market sentiment reflects these constrained tactical developments, with traders assessing the timeline and resources required for any deeper advance into the oblast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$716,444 거래량
2027년 3월 31일
15%
$716,444 거래량
2027년 3월 31일
15%
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+train+station.jpg
Sumy Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+location.jpg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/vd3fmfpUTB6BooEb9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+train+station.jpg
Sumy Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+location.jpg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/vd3fmfpUTB6BooEb9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces in northern Sumy Oblast continue limited offensive operations aimed at establishing buffer zones along the Ukraine-Russia border through incremental gains in small villages such as Myropillia and nearby settlements. Ukrainian reports confirm only marginal Russian advances in recent weeks, often disputed by Kyiv as exaggerated claims without consolidation of key positions. No verified ground movements indicate a sustained push toward Sumy city itself or its critical infrastructure like the railroad station. Ongoing drone activity and artillery exchanges persist, but Ukrainian defenses and repositioning to prepared lines have contained broader progress. Market sentiment reflects these constrained tactical developments, with traders assessing the timeline and resources required for any deeper advance into the oblast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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