Roger Federer's long-standing knee issues and official retirement from professional tennis in 2022 continue to anchor trader consensus at a 97.8% implied probability that he will not appear at Wimbledon. Multiple surgeries, combined with his age and absence from the ATP Tour since the Laver Cup, have eliminated any realistic path back to Grand Slam competition on grass. Recent seasons have seen no comeback announcements, training updates, or entry into the qualifying draw, reinforcing the market's view of a permanent withdrawal. While a surprise late return remains theoretically possible, the combination of physical limitations and established career closure makes such a development highly improbable for the upcoming Championships.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.07.13
신규
신규
2026.07.13
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Roger Federer's long-standing knee issues and official retirement from professional tennis in 2022 continue to anchor trader consensus at a 97.8% implied probability that he will not appear at Wimbledon. Multiple surgeries, combined with his age and absence from the ATP Tour since the Laver Cup, have eliminated any realistic path back to Grand Slam competition on grass. Recent seasons have seen no comeback announcements, training updates, or entry into the qualifying draw, reinforcing the market's view of a permanent withdrawal. While a surprise late return remains theoretically possible, the combination of physical limitations and established career closure makes such a development highly improbable for the upcoming Championships.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
거래량
$1,614종료일
2026.07.13마켓 개설일
Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Roger Federer's long-standing knee issues and official retirement from professional tennis in 2022 continue to anchor trader consensus at a 97.8% implied probability that he will not appear at Wimbledon. Multiple surgeries, combined with his age and absence from the ATP Tour since the Laver Cup, have eliminated any realistic path back to Grand Slam competition on grass. Recent seasons have seen no comeback announcements, training updates, or entry into the qualifying draw, reinforcing the market's view of a permanent withdrawal. While a surprise late return remains theoretically possible, the combination of physical limitations and established career closure makes such a development highly improbable for the upcoming Championships.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,614종료일
2026.07.13마켓 개설일
Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Roger Federer's long-standing knee issues and official retirement from professional tennis in 2022 continue to anchor trader consensus at a 97.8% implied probability that he will not appear at Wimbledon. Multiple surgeries, combined with his age and absence from the ATP Tour since the Laver Cup, have eliminated any realistic path back to Grand Slam competition on grass. Recent seasons have seen no comeback announcements, training updates, or entry into the qualifying draw, reinforcing the market's view of a permanent withdrawal. While a surprise late return remains theoretically possible, the combination of physical limitations and established career closure makes such a development highly improbable for the upcoming Championships.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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