Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton leads Sen. John Cornyn 48%-45% in a May 5 University of Houston poll for the May 26 Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff, driving trader consensus to 95% he will not drop out. After neither candidate secured a March 3 primary majority, both passed the mid-March ballot withdrawal deadline despite earlier Paxton comments tying an exit to SAVE Act passage, which stalled. Recent momentum from Scott Presler's endorsement and Paxton's election integrity advocacy offsets fundraising shortfalls, with no new scandals or health issues emerging. Early voting begins May 18; a Trump endorsement for Cornyn or late-breaking legal developments in Paxton's prior cases could pressure withdrawal, but commitment appears firm.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.05.25
신규
신규
2026.05.25
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton leads Sen. John Cornyn 48%-45% in a May 5 University of Houston poll for the May 26 Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff, driving trader consensus to 95% he will not drop out. After neither candidate secured a March 3 primary majority, both passed the mid-March ballot withdrawal deadline despite earlier Paxton comments tying an exit to SAVE Act passage, which stalled. Recent momentum from Scott Presler's endorsement and Paxton's election integrity advocacy offsets fundraising shortfalls, with no new scandals or health issues emerging. Early voting begins May 18; a Trump endorsement for Cornyn or late-breaking legal developments in Paxton's prior cases could pressure withdrawal, but commitment appears firm.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
거래량
$5,796종료일
2026.05.25마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton leads Sen. John Cornyn 48%-45% in a May 5 University of Houston poll for the May 26 Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff, driving trader consensus to 95% he will not drop out. After neither candidate secured a March 3 primary majority, both passed the mid-March ballot withdrawal deadline despite earlier Paxton comments tying an exit to SAVE Act passage, which stalled. Recent momentum from Scott Presler's endorsement and Paxton's election integrity advocacy offsets fundraising shortfalls, with no new scandals or health issues emerging. Early voting begins May 18; a Trump endorsement for Cornyn or late-breaking legal developments in Paxton's prior cases could pressure withdrawal, but commitment appears firm.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$5,796종료일
2026.05.25마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton leads Sen. John Cornyn 48%-45% in a May 5 University of Houston poll for the May 26 Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff, driving trader consensus to 95% he will not drop out. After neither candidate secured a March 3 primary majority, both passed the mid-March ballot withdrawal deadline despite earlier Paxton comments tying an exit to SAVE Act passage, which stalled. Recent momentum from Scott Presler's endorsement and Paxton's election integrity advocacy offsets fundraising shortfalls, with no new scandals or health issues emerging. Early voting begins May 18; a Trump endorsement for Cornyn or late-breaking legal developments in Paxton's prior cases could pressure withdrawal, but commitment appears firm.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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