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이코노미·정량적 타이트

Will Fed end QT before May?

icon for Will Fed end QT before May?
이코노미·정량적 타이트

Will Fed end QT before May?

>99% 확률
Polymarket

$6,253,068 거래량

>99% 확률
Polymarket

$6,253,068 거래량

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it.

This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error.

This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL
거래량
$6,253,068
종료일
2025.04.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 4, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

결과 제안됨: Yes

이의 제기됨

결과 제안됨: Yes

이의 제기됨

최종 결과: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it.

This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error.

This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL
거래량
$6,253,068
종료일
2025.04.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 4, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

결과 제안됨: Yes

이의 제기됨

결과 제안됨: Yes

이의 제기됨

최종 결과: Yes

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자주 묻는 질문

"Will Fed end QT before May?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 100%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 100¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 100%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Will Fed end QT before May?"은 총 $6.3 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 4, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Will Fed end QT before May?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Will Fed end QT before May?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 100%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 100%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"Will Fed end QT before May?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.