Apple's longstanding annual release cadence for its flagship smartphones drives the overwhelming market consensus around an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has introduced a new model each September for more than a decade, with the iPhone 17 slated for later this year setting up the expected successor. Supply-chain preparations and component sourcing typically finalize well ahead of time, limiting disruption risks. While unforeseen hardware challenges, such as delays in next-generation chips or camera sensors, or external regulatory hurdles could theoretically shift timelines, historical patterns show Apple reliably meets its yearly window despite such variables.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$111,252 거래량
$111,252 거래량
2026.12.31
$111,252 거래량
$111,252 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's longstanding annual release cadence for its flagship smartphones drives the overwhelming market consensus around an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has introduced a new model each September for more than a decade, with the iPhone 17 slated for later this year setting up the expected successor. Supply-chain preparations and component sourcing typically finalize well ahead of time, limiting disruption risks. While unforeseen hardware challenges, such as delays in next-generation chips or camera sensors, or external regulatory hurdles could theoretically shift timelines, historical patterns show Apple reliably meets its yearly window despite such variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
거래량
$111,252종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's longstanding annual release cadence for its flagship smartphones drives the overwhelming market consensus around an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has introduced a new model each September for more than a decade, with the iPhone 17 slated for later this year setting up the expected successor. Supply-chain preparations and component sourcing typically finalize well ahead of time, limiting disruption risks. While unforeseen hardware challenges, such as delays in next-generation chips or camera sensors, or external regulatory hurdles could theoretically shift timelines, historical patterns show Apple reliably meets its yearly window despite such variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$111,252종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's longstanding annual release cadence for its flagship smartphones drives the overwhelming market consensus around an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has introduced a new model each September for more than a decade, with the iPhone 17 slated for later this year setting up the expected successor. Supply-chain preparations and component sourcing typically finalize well ahead of time, limiting disruption risks. While unforeseen hardware challenges, such as delays in next-generation chips or camera sensors, or external regulatory hurdles could theoretically shift timelines, historical patterns show Apple reliably meets its yearly window despite such variables.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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