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Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

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Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

>99% 확률
Polymarket

$74,126 거래량

>99% 확률
Polymarket

$74,126 거래량

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time. “In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.The Trump administration's February 20, 2026, proclamation under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 imposed a temporary 10% ad valorem tariff on nearly all imports, effective February 24, to address international payment imbalances following a Supreme Court ruling invalidating prior IEEPA-based levies. This blanket measure, authorized for 150 days without congressional approval, remains fully operational as of March 31, with U.S. Customs and Border Protection actively collecting duties, driving trader consensus to 99.1% "Yes." While plans for potential hikes to 15% have surfaced, no verified actions have altered the 10% rate; rare disruptions like an emergency injunction, congressional override, or executive reversal could theoretically intervene before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time.

“In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.
거래량
$74,126
종료일
2026.03.31
마켓 개설일
Feb 20, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time. “In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.

결과 제안됨: Yes

이의 없음

최종 결과: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time. “In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.The Trump administration's February 20, 2026, proclamation under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 imposed a temporary 10% ad valorem tariff on nearly all imports, effective February 24, to address international payment imbalances following a Supreme Court ruling invalidating prior IEEPA-based levies. This blanket measure, authorized for 150 days without congressional approval, remains fully operational as of March 31, with U.S. Customs and Border Protection actively collecting duties, driving trader consensus to 99.1% "Yes." While plans for potential hikes to 15% have surfaced, no verified actions have altered the 10% rate; rare disruptions like an emergency injunction, congressional override, or executive reversal could theoretically intervene before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time.

“In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.
거래량
$74,126
종료일
2026.03.31
마켓 개설일
Feb 20, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time. “In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.

결과 제안됨: Yes

이의 없음

최종 결과: Yes

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 100%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 100¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 100%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?"은 총 $74.1K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Feb 21, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 100%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 100%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.