In Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district, traders assign the Democratic Party a 62% implied probability of winning the 2026 House seat, ahead of the Republican Party at 41.5%, largely due to Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke's consistent fundraising edge over incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. Cooke has outraised the incumbent in recent reporting periods and maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage as the August primary approaches. The race remains highly competitive in a district with an R+3 partisan voting index, where Van Orden won narrow victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate it a toss-up or slight Republican lean, highlighting the impact of candidate resources, primary outcomes, and voter turnout patterns in this western Wisconsin battleground on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
51%
Republican Party
50%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$464 거래량
51%
Republican Party
$540 거래량
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district, traders assign the Democratic Party a 62% implied probability of winning the 2026 House seat, ahead of the Republican Party at 41.5%, largely due to Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke's consistent fundraising edge over incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. Cooke has outraised the incumbent in recent reporting periods and maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage as the August primary approaches. The race remains highly competitive in a district with an R+3 partisan voting index, where Van Orden won narrow victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate it a toss-up or slight Republican lean, highlighting the impact of candidate resources, primary outcomes, and voter turnout patterns in this western Wisconsin battleground on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$1,004종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district, traders assign the Democratic Party a 62% implied probability of winning the 2026 House seat, ahead of the Republican Party at 41.5%, largely due to Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke's consistent fundraising edge over incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. Cooke has outraised the incumbent in recent reporting periods and maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage as the August primary approaches. The race remains highly competitive in a district with an R+3 partisan voting index, where Van Orden won narrow victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate it a toss-up or slight Republican lean, highlighting the impact of candidate resources, primary outcomes, and voter turnout patterns in this western Wisconsin battleground on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,004종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district, traders assign the Democratic Party a 62% implied probability of winning the 2026 House seat, ahead of the Republican Party at 41.5%, largely due to Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke's consistent fundraising edge over incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. Cooke has outraised the incumbent in recent reporting periods and maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage as the August primary approaches. The race remains highly competitive in a district with an R+3 partisan voting index, where Van Orden won narrow victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate it a toss-up or slight Republican lean, highlighting the impact of candidate resources, primary outcomes, and voter turnout patterns in this western Wisconsin battleground on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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