The WI-03 race remains tightly contested because Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden won reelection in 2024 by under three points in an R+3 district, while Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke has since outraised him and drawn strong support in early polling. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up after shifting it from lean Republican, reflecting both parties’ heavy investment and the district’s swing character ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November 3 general election. Traders’ near-even consensus captures these fundamentals, with separation likely hinging on primary resolution, fall fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
64%
Republican Party
35%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$464 거래량
64%
Republican Party
$540 거래량
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-03 race remains tightly contested because Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden won reelection in 2024 by under three points in an R+3 district, while Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke has since outraised him and drawn strong support in early polling. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up after shifting it from lean Republican, reflecting both parties’ heavy investment and the district’s swing character ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November 3 general election. Traders’ near-even consensus captures these fundamentals, with separation likely hinging on primary resolution, fall fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$1,004종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-03 race remains tightly contested because Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden won reelection in 2024 by under three points in an R+3 district, while Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke has since outraised him and drawn strong support in early polling. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up after shifting it from lean Republican, reflecting both parties’ heavy investment and the district’s swing character ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November 3 general election. Traders’ near-even consensus captures these fundamentals, with separation likely hinging on primary resolution, fall fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,004종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The WI-03 race remains tightly contested because Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden won reelection in 2024 by under three points in an R+3 district, while Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke has since outraised him and drawn strong support in early polling. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up after shifting it from lean Republican, reflecting both parties’ heavy investment and the district’s swing character ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November 3 general election. Traders’ near-even consensus captures these fundamentals, with separation likely hinging on primary resolution, fall fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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