Google’s May 19 I/O announcements, including Gemini 3.5 Flash general availability and Gemini Deep Think agentic reasoning tools, drove the near-certain market consensus that its models lead in mathematical reasoning at month-end. These updates highlighted demonstrated performance on expert-level open problems in mathematics and science, along with strong results on competition-style benchmarks that reward multi-step symbolic reasoning. Traders viewed Google’s integrated hardware-software ecosystem and rapid iteration cadence as decisive advantages over peers. A late-May release or benchmark breakthrough from another lab could still shift perceptions, though the current positioning reflects sustained momentum in verified capability demonstrations rather than unconfirmed claims.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
$521,241 거래량
$521,241 거래량
2026.05.31
Anthropic
No
OpenAI
No
xAI
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Microsoft
No
Yes
Alibaba
No
ByteDance
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Meta
No
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
$521,241 거래량
$521,241 거래량
2026.05.31
Anthropic
$174,830 거래량
No
OpenAI
$82,982 거래량
No
xAI
$17,367 거래량
No
Baidu
$16,753 거래량
No
Amazon
$3,116 거래량
No
Mistral
$8,776 거래량
No
Meituan
$2,909 거래량
No
Microsoft
$1,512 거래량
No
$116,612 거래량
Yes
Alibaba
$28,506 거래량
No
ByteDance
$12,243 거래량
No
Moonshot
$15,273 거래량
No
Z.ai
$14,046 거래량
No
DeepSeek
$13,422 거래량
No
Meta
$12,892 거래량
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google’s May 19 I/O announcements, including Gemini 3.5 Flash general availability and Gemini Deep Think agentic reasoning tools, drove the near-certain market consensus that its models lead in mathematical reasoning at month-end. These updates highlighted demonstrated performance on expert-level open problems in mathematics and science, along with strong results on competition-style benchmarks that reward multi-step symbolic reasoning. Traders viewed Google’s integrated hardware-software ecosystem and rapid iteration cadence as decisive advantages over peers. A late-May release or benchmark breakthrough from another lab could still shift perceptions, though the current positioning reflects sustained momentum in verified capability demonstrations rather than unconfirmed claims.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
거래량
$521,241종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google’s May 19 I/O announcements, including Gemini 3.5 Flash general availability and Gemini Deep Think agentic reasoning tools, drove the near-certain market consensus that its models lead in mathematical reasoning at month-end. These updates highlighted demonstrated performance on expert-level open problems in mathematics and science, along with strong results on competition-style benchmarks that reward multi-step symbolic reasoning. Traders viewed Google’s integrated hardware-software ecosystem and rapid iteration cadence as decisive advantages over peers. A late-May release or benchmark breakthrough from another lab could still shift perceptions, though the current positioning reflects sustained momentum in verified capability demonstrations rather than unconfirmed claims.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$521,241종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Google’s May 19 I/O announcements, including Gemini 3.5 Flash general availability and Gemini Deep Think agentic reasoning tools, drove the near-certain market consensus that its models lead in mathematical reasoning at month-end. These updates highlighted demonstrated performance on expert-level open problems in mathematics and science, along with strong results on competition-style benchmarks that reward multi-step symbolic reasoning. Traders viewed Google’s integrated hardware-software ecosystem and rapid iteration cadence as decisive advantages over peers. A late-May release or benchmark breakthrough from another lab could still shift perceptions, though the current positioning reflects sustained momentum in verified capability demonstrations rather than unconfirmed claims.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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