Polymarket's trader consensus prices Miami's median home value—per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index—at a razor-thin margin around the $1.18 million threshold by April 30, with 47% implied probability below and 43% in the $1.18-1.215 million bin, underscoring a fiercely contested outlook. Recent softening dominates sentiment: Zillow's March data shows Miami values down 2% year-over-year to $580,000 average, echoed by 2.5% YoY declines in Parcl-tracked metrics amid 11% inventory growth and balanced 6-month supply. Countervailing forces include Redfin's 3% rise in median sales to $675,000 last month and spring luxury demand surges from global buyers. Resolution hinges on late-April transaction velocity and mortgage rate stability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트What will the median home value in Miami be on April 30?
What will the median home value in Miami be on April 30?
<1.18m 47%
1.18 - 1.215m 43.0%
1.215 - 1.25m 5.3%
1.32 - 1.355m 3.3%
신규
신규
2026.05.01
<1.18m
47%
1.18 - 1.215m
43%
1.215 - 1.25m
5%
1.25 - 1.285m
2%
1.285 - 1.32m
1%
1.32 - 1.355m
3%
>1.355m
<1%
<1.18m 47%
1.18 - 1.215m 43.0%
1.215 - 1.25m 5.3%
1.32 - 1.355m 3.3%
신규
신규
2026.05.01
<1.18m
$849 거래량
47%
1.18 - 1.215m
$1,171 거래량
43%
1.215 - 1.25m
$3,480 거래량
5%
1.25 - 1.285m
$862 거래량
2%
1.285 - 1.32m
$313 거래량
1%
1.32 - 1.355m
$270 거래량
3%
>1.355m
$421 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
Polymarket's trader consensus prices Miami's median home value—per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index—at a razor-thin margin around the $1.18 million threshold by April 30, with 47% implied probability below and 43% in the $1.18-1.215 million bin, underscoring a fiercely contested outlook. Recent softening dominates sentiment: Zillow's March data shows Miami values down 2% year-over-year to $580,000 average, echoed by 2.5% YoY declines in Parcl-tracked metrics amid 11% inventory growth and balanced 6-month supply. Countervailing forces include Redfin's 3% rise in median sales to $675,000 last month and spring luxury demand surges from global buyers. Resolution hinges on late-April transaction velocity and mortgage rate stability.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
마켓 개설일: Mar 30, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
거래량
$7,367종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
Polymarket's trader consensus prices Miami's median home value—per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index—at a razor-thin margin around the $1.18 million threshold by April 30, with 47% implied probability below and 43% in the $1.18-1.215 million bin, underscoring a fiercely contested outlook. Recent softening dominates sentiment: Zillow's March data shows Miami values down 2% year-over-year to $580,000 average, echoed by 2.5% YoY declines in Parcl-tracked metrics amid 11% inventory growth and balanced 6-month supply. Countervailing forces include Redfin's 3% rise in median sales to $675,000 last month and spring luxury demand surges from global buyers. Resolution hinges on late-April transaction velocity and mortgage rate stability.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
거래량
$7,367종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's trader consensus prices Miami's median home value—per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index—at a razor-thin margin around the $1.18 million threshold by April 30, with 47% implied probability below and 43% in the $1.18-1.215 million bin, underscoring a fiercely contested outlook. Recent softening dominates sentiment: Zillow's March data shows Miami values down 2% year-over-year to $580,000 average, echoed by 2.5% YoY declines in Parcl-tracked metrics amid 11% inventory growth and balanced 6-month supply. Countervailing forces include Redfin's 3% rise in median sales to $675,000 last month and spring luxury demand surges from global buyers. Resolution hinges on late-April transaction velocity and mortgage rate stability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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