The KOSPI index (^KS11) has experienced extreme volatility in Q1 2026, peaking above 6,000 in late February on robust semiconductor exports and AI-driven demand for chips from Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, before plunging over 12% in early March—its worst single-day drop ever—amid escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which triggered energy shocks and heavy foreign selling of 3 trillion won. As of March 31 close, the index stands at 5,052, down 4.3% today with a session low of 5,043, reflecting battered memory chip stocks and heightened risk aversion. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices near-certainty against new quarterly highs above 6,500 while assigning modest 6-11% implied probabilities to breaching lows near 4,500-4,800 if geopolitical risks intensify. Key catalysts ahead include the Bank of Korea's April 10 policy meeting amid stable 1.9% inflation and Q1 earnings season starting next week, with semiconductor revenue trends pivotal for rebound potential.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$75,687 거래량
2026.03.31
↑ 7000
No
↑ 6500
No
↑ 6000
Yes
↑ 5750
Yes
↑ 5500
Yes
↑ 5400
Yes
↑ 5300
Yes
↑ 5200
Yes
↑ 5100
Yes
↓ 4900
Yes
↓ 4800
No
↓ 4700
No
↓ 4600
No
↓ 4500
No
$75,687 거래량
↑ 7000
$8,194 거래량
No
↑ 6500
$8,087 거래량
No
↑ 6000
$7,040 거래량
Yes
↑ 5750
$2,004 거래량
Yes
↑ 5500
$2,034 거래량
Yes
↑ 5400
$1,700 거래량
Yes
↑ 5300
$6,603 거래량
Yes
↑ 5200
$928 거래량
Yes
↑ 5100
$1,947 거래량
Yes
↓ 4900
$1,989 거래량
Yes
↓ 4800
$15,834 거래량
No
↓ 4700
$3,900 거래량
No
↓ 4600
$7,593 거래량
No
↓ 4500
$7,835 거래량
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.The KOSPI index (^KS11) has experienced extreme volatility in Q1 2026, peaking above 6,000 in late February on robust semiconductor exports and AI-driven demand for chips from Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, before plunging over 12% in early March—its worst single-day drop ever—amid escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which triggered energy shocks and heavy foreign selling of 3 trillion won. As of March 31 close, the index stands at 5,052, down 4.3% today with a session low of 5,043, reflecting battered memory chip stocks and heightened risk aversion. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices near-certainty against new quarterly highs above 6,500 while assigning modest 6-11% implied probabilities to breaching lows near 4,500-4,800 if geopolitical risks intensify. Key catalysts ahead include the Bank of Korea's April 10 policy meeting amid stable 1.9% inflation and Q1 earnings season starting next week, with semiconductor revenue trends pivotal for rebound potential.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$75,687종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.The KOSPI index (^KS11) has experienced extreme volatility in Q1 2026, peaking above 6,000 in late February on robust semiconductor exports and AI-driven demand for chips from Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, before plunging over 12% in early March—its worst single-day drop ever—amid escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which triggered energy shocks and heavy foreign selling of 3 trillion won. As of March 31 close, the index stands at 5,052, down 4.3% today with a session low of 5,043, reflecting battered memory chip stocks and heightened risk aversion. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices near-certainty against new quarterly highs above 6,500 while assigning modest 6-11% implied probabilities to breaching lows near 4,500-4,800 if geopolitical risks intensify. Key catalysts ahead include the Bank of Korea's April 10 policy meeting amid stable 1.9% inflation and Q1 earnings season starting next week, with semiconductor revenue trends pivotal for rebound potential.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.
거래량
$75,687종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The KOSPI index (^KS11) has experienced extreme volatility in Q1 2026, peaking above 6,000 in late February on robust semiconductor exports and AI-driven demand for chips from Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, before plunging over 12% in early March—its worst single-day drop ever—amid escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which triggered energy shocks and heavy foreign selling of 3 trillion won. As of March 31 close, the index stands at 5,052, down 4.3% today with a session low of 5,043, reflecting battered memory chip stocks and heightened risk aversion. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices near-certainty against new quarterly highs above 6,500 while assigning modest 6-11% implied probabilities to breaching lows near 4,500-4,800 if geopolitical risks intensify. Key catalysts ahead include the Bank of Korea's April 10 policy meeting amid stable 1.9% inflation and Q1 earnings season starting next week, with semiconductor revenue trends pivotal for rebound potential.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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