Vermont's at-large congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1990, reflecting the state's consistent partisan lean in federal elections. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, seeking a third term, benefits from this structural advantage and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, while Republican primary candidates such as Mark Coester have raised limited funds and face minimal prospects of closing the gap. Balint's May 2026 reelection announcement reinforced her position ahead of the August primaries. A national political shift favoring Republicans or an unanticipated primary upset could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome Vermont's established voting patterns to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,286 거래량
$11,286 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$11,286 거래량
$11,286 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,382 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$4,904 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1990, reflecting the state's consistent partisan lean in federal elections. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, seeking a third term, benefits from this structural advantage and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, while Republican primary candidates such as Mark Coester have raised limited funds and face minimal prospects of closing the gap. Balint's May 2026 reelection announcement reinforced her position ahead of the August primaries. A national political shift favoring Republicans or an unanticipated primary upset could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome Vermont's established voting patterns to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$11,286종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1990, reflecting the state's consistent partisan lean in federal elections. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, seeking a third term, benefits from this structural advantage and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, while Republican primary candidates such as Mark Coester have raised limited funds and face minimal prospects of closing the gap. Balint's May 2026 reelection announcement reinforced her position ahead of the August primaries. A national political shift favoring Republicans or an unanticipated primary upset could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome Vermont's established voting patterns to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,286종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont's at-large congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1990, reflecting the state's consistent partisan lean in federal elections. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, seeking a third term, benefits from this structural advantage and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, while Republican primary candidates such as Mark Coester have raised limited funds and face minimal prospects of closing the gap. Balint's May 2026 reelection announcement reinforced her position ahead of the August primaries. A national political shift favoring Republicans or an unanticipated primary upset could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome Vermont's established voting patterns to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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