Vermont’s at-large congressional district has favored Democratic candidates for decades, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a partisan voting index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, who won reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, Mark Coester, announced her 2026 bid in May and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 11 primaries. The general election on November 3 occurs in a state where Democratic performance has remained stable across recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched structural edge and incumbency strength. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or extraordinary national political shift could still influence the outcome, such developments would need to overcome the district’s consistent voting patterns to meaningfully alter the result.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,286 거래량
$11,286 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$11,286 거래량
$11,286 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,382 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$4,904 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district has favored Democratic candidates for decades, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a partisan voting index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, who won reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, Mark Coester, announced her 2026 bid in May and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 11 primaries. The general election on November 3 occurs in a state where Democratic performance has remained stable across recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched structural edge and incumbency strength. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or extraordinary national political shift could still influence the outcome, such developments would need to overcome the district’s consistent voting patterns to meaningfully alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$11,286종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district has favored Democratic candidates for decades, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a partisan voting index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, who won reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, Mark Coester, announced her 2026 bid in May and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 11 primaries. The general election on November 3 occurs in a state where Democratic performance has remained stable across recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched structural edge and incumbency strength. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or extraordinary national political shift could still influence the outcome, such developments would need to overcome the district’s consistent voting patterns to meaningfully alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,286종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large congressional district has favored Democratic candidates for decades, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a partisan voting index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, who won reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, Mark Coester, announced her 2026 bid in May and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 11 primaries. The general election on November 3 occurs in a state where Democratic performance has remained stable across recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched structural edge and incumbency strength. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or extraordinary national political shift could still influence the outcome, such developments would need to overcome the district’s consistent voting patterns to meaningfully alter the result.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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