Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán conceded defeat in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election after his Fidesz party suffered a landslide loss to Péter Magyar's Tisza opposition amid record 79% turnout, driven by voter frustration over corruption, economic stagnation, and EU tensions. With Tisza securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly, traders price a near-certain 99.1% "Yes" probability of Orbán exiting office by December 31, reflecting the swift end to his 16-year rule and inevitable government transition. Realistic shifts could arise from legal challenges to results, prolonged coalition negotiations, or health events, though his prompt concession signals orderly handover.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트빅토르 오르반이 2026년 12월 31일까지 퇴출되나요?
빅토르 오르반이 2026년 12월 31일까지 퇴출되나요?
예
$155,484 거래량
$155,484 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$155,484 거래량
$155,484 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán conceded defeat in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election after his Fidesz party suffered a landslide loss to Péter Magyar's Tisza opposition amid record 79% turnout, driven by voter frustration over corruption, economic stagnation, and EU tensions. With Tisza securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly, traders price a near-certain 99.1% "Yes" probability of Orbán exiting office by December 31, reflecting the swift end to his 16-year rule and inevitable government transition. Realistic shifts could arise from legal challenges to results, prolonged coalition negotiations, or health events, though his prompt concession signals orderly handover.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
거래량
$155,484종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán conceded defeat in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election after his Fidesz party suffered a landslide loss to Péter Magyar's Tisza opposition amid record 79% turnout, driven by voter frustration over corruption, economic stagnation, and EU tensions. With Tisza securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly, traders price a near-certain 99.1% "Yes" probability of Orbán exiting office by December 31, reflecting the swift end to his 16-year rule and inevitable government transition. Realistic shifts could arise from legal challenges to results, prolonged coalition negotiations, or health events, though his prompt concession signals orderly handover.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$155,484종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán conceded defeat in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election after his Fidesz party suffered a landslide loss to Péter Magyar's Tisza opposition amid record 79% turnout, driven by voter frustration over corruption, economic stagnation, and EU tensions. With Tisza securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly, traders price a near-certain 99.1% "Yes" probability of Orbán exiting office by December 31, reflecting the swift end to his 16-year rule and inevitable government transition. Realistic shifts could arise from legal challenges to results, prolonged coalition negotiations, or health events, though his prompt concession signals orderly handover.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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