Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,977 거래량
$18,977 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
$18,977 거래량
$18,977 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$12,275 거래량
95%
공화당
$6,702 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$18,977종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,977종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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