Virginia's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results under longtime incumbent Morgan Griffith. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet no challenger has emerged with the resources or profile to contest the rural southwest Virginia district effectively. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome above 90 percent aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive dynamics. A national Democratic surge or successful redistricting challenge could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain significant.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$42,603 거래량
$42,603 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$42,603 거래량
$42,603 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$33,183 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$9,420 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results under longtime incumbent Morgan Griffith. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet no challenger has emerged with the resources or profile to contest the rural southwest Virginia district effectively. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome above 90 percent aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive dynamics. A national Democratic surge or successful redistricting challenge could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain significant.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$42,603종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results under longtime incumbent Morgan Griffith. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet no challenger has emerged with the resources or profile to contest the rural southwest Virginia district effectively. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome above 90 percent aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive dynamics. A national Democratic surge or successful redistricting challenge could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain significant.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$42,603종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results under longtime incumbent Morgan Griffith. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet no challenger has emerged with the resources or profile to contest the rural southwest Virginia district effectively. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome above 90 percent aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive dynamics. A national Democratic surge or successful redistricting challenge could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain significant.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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