Redistricting from a court-ordered map in late 2025 transformed Utah's 1st Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat centered on urban Salt Lake County voters, displacing prior Republican incumbent Blake Moore to another race and creating an open contest. Trader consensus reflects this structural shift, pricing Democratic Party victory at 85% amid a weak Republican field lacking high-profile candidates. Liban Mohamed's upset win at the April 25 Democratic convention over former Rep. Ben McAdams secured his primary path, energizing Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries. Upcoming Republican primary could yield a contender, but district fundamentals and fundraising edges favor Democrats in the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,976 거래량
$26,976 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
83%
공화당
7%
$26,976 거래량
$26,976 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
$1,202 거래량
83%
공화당
$25,774 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting from a court-ordered map in late 2025 transformed Utah's 1st Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat centered on urban Salt Lake County voters, displacing prior Republican incumbent Blake Moore to another race and creating an open contest. Trader consensus reflects this structural shift, pricing Democratic Party victory at 85% amid a weak Republican field lacking high-profile candidates. Liban Mohamed's upset win at the April 25 Democratic convention over former Rep. Ben McAdams secured his primary path, energizing Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries. Upcoming Republican primary could yield a contender, but district fundamentals and fundraising edges favor Democrats in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$26,976종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting from a court-ordered map in late 2025 transformed Utah's 1st Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat centered on urban Salt Lake County voters, displacing prior Republican incumbent Blake Moore to another race and creating an open contest. Trader consensus reflects this structural shift, pricing Democratic Party victory at 85% amid a weak Republican field lacking high-profile candidates. Liban Mohamed's upset win at the April 25 Democratic convention over former Rep. Ben McAdams secured his primary path, energizing Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries. Upcoming Republican primary could yield a contender, but district fundamentals and fundraising edges favor Democrats in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,976종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting from a court-ordered map in late 2025 transformed Utah's 1st Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat centered on urban Salt Lake County voters, displacing prior Republican incumbent Blake Moore to another race and creating an open contest. Trader consensus reflects this structural shift, pricing Democratic Party victory at 85% amid a weak Republican field lacking high-profile candidates. Liban Mohamed's upset win at the April 25 Democratic convention over former Rep. Ben McAdams secured his primary path, energizing Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries. Upcoming Republican primary could yield a contender, but district fundamentals and fundraising edges favor Democrats in the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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