Incumbent Rep. Brian Babin (R) secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 36th Congressional District with an 81% primary win on March 3, solidifying his path in this R+18 Cook PVI seat rated Solid Republican. Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64% in her low-turnout primary, but trails dramatically in fundraising—Babin holds $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's $4,000 as of late March. Babin's consistent 69-73% general election margins since 2014, bolstered by the district's post-redistricting Republican lean extending to Lufkin, drive trader consensus toward GOP at 87%. No polling exists, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the November 3 general election; a Democratic upset would require extraordinary turnout shifts in this safe Republican battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,409 거래량
87%
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brian Babin (R) secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 36th Congressional District with an 81% primary win on March 3, solidifying his path in this R+18 Cook PVI seat rated Solid Republican. Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64% in her low-turnout primary, but trails dramatically in fundraising—Babin holds $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's $4,000 as of late March. Babin's consistent 69-73% general election margins since 2014, bolstered by the district's post-redistricting Republican lean extending to Lufkin, drive trader consensus toward GOP at 87%. No polling exists, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the November 3 general election; a Democratic upset would require extraordinary turnout shifts in this safe Republican battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$2,409종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brian Babin (R) secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 36th Congressional District with an 81% primary win on March 3, solidifying his path in this R+18 Cook PVI seat rated Solid Republican. Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64% in her low-turnout primary, but trails dramatically in fundraising—Babin holds $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's $4,000 as of late March. Babin's consistent 69-73% general election margins since 2014, bolstered by the district's post-redistricting Republican lean extending to Lufkin, drive trader consensus toward GOP at 87%. No polling exists, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the November 3 general election; a Democratic upset would require extraordinary turnout shifts in this safe Republican battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,409종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Brian Babin (R) secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 36th Congressional District with an 81% primary win on March 3, solidifying his path in this R+18 Cook PVI seat rated Solid Republican. Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64% in her low-turnout primary, but trails dramatically in fundraising—Babin holds $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's $4,000 as of late March. Babin's consistent 69-73% general election margins since 2014, bolstered by the district's post-redistricting Republican lean extending to Lufkin, drive trader consensus toward GOP at 87%. No polling exists, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the November 3 general election; a Democratic upset would require extraordinary turnout shifts in this safe Republican battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문