Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote in Texas's 36th congressional district, facing Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The district's established Republican tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting patterns favoring the party in Southeast Texas, underpins trader consensus around an 87 percent probability for the GOP nominee. Babin's long tenure since 2015 and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area further solidify the positioning, while Hart's primary win offers little evidence of a broader shift. With no major developments in the past month, the market reflects the structural advantages typical of this solidly Republican seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,409 거래량
87%
Democratic Party
$2,685 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote in Texas's 36th congressional district, facing Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The district's established Republican tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting patterns favoring the party in Southeast Texas, underpins trader consensus around an 87 percent probability for the GOP nominee. Babin's long tenure since 2015 and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area further solidify the positioning, while Hart's primary win offers little evidence of a broader shift. With no major developments in the past month, the market reflects the structural advantages typical of this solidly Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$5,095종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote in Texas's 36th congressional district, facing Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The district's established Republican tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting patterns favoring the party in Southeast Texas, underpins trader consensus around an 87 percent probability for the GOP nominee. Babin's long tenure since 2015 and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area further solidify the positioning, while Hart's primary win offers little evidence of a broader shift. With no major developments in the past month, the market reflects the structural advantages typical of this solidly Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,095종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote in Texas's 36th congressional district, facing Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The district's established Republican tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting patterns favoring the party in Southeast Texas, underpins trader consensus around an 87 percent probability for the GOP nominee. Babin's long tenure since 2015 and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area further solidify the positioning, while Hart's primary win offers little evidence of a broader shift. With no major developments in the past month, the market reflects the structural advantages typical of this solidly Republican seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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