In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 77% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson at 26%, reflecting his 11-point first-round lead on March 3 in the redrawn Dallas-area district, superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), and key endorsements including Texas AFL-CIO, Rep. Jasmine Crockett—who is door-knocking this weekend—and Carlos Quintanilla. Allred launched his first paid digital ad on May 8 calling to abolish ICE, countering Johnson's attacks on his support for ICE-related measures like the Laken Riley Act. High turnout among the district's 55% Hispanic voters could tip this intraparty contest in the safely Democratic seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트콜린 올레드 77%
줄리 존슨 26%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
지샨 하피즈 <1%
$72,487 거래량
$72,487 거래량
2026.05.26
콜린 올레드
77%
줄리 존슨
26%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
지샨 하피즈
<1%
콜린 올레드 77%
줄리 존슨 26%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
지샨 하피즈 <1%
$72,487 거래량
$72,487 거래량
2026.05.26
콜린 올레드
$32,742 거래량
77%
줄리 존슨
$30,649 거래량
26%
Carlos Quintanilla
$4,013 거래량
<1%
지샨 하피즈
$5,083 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 77% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson at 26%, reflecting his 11-point first-round lead on March 3 in the redrawn Dallas-area district, superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), and key endorsements including Texas AFL-CIO, Rep. Jasmine Crockett—who is door-knocking this weekend—and Carlos Quintanilla. Allred launched his first paid digital ad on May 8 calling to abolish ICE, countering Johnson's attacks on his support for ICE-related measures like the Laken Riley Act. High turnout among the district's 55% Hispanic voters could tip this intraparty contest in the safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
거래량
$72,487종료일
2026.05.26마켓 개설일
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 77% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson at 26%, reflecting his 11-point first-round lead on March 3 in the redrawn Dallas-area district, superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), and key endorsements including Texas AFL-CIO, Rep. Jasmine Crockett—who is door-knocking this weekend—and Carlos Quintanilla. Allred launched his first paid digital ad on May 8 calling to abolish ICE, countering Johnson's attacks on his support for ICE-related measures like the Laken Riley Act. High turnout among the district's 55% Hispanic voters could tip this intraparty contest in the safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$72,487종료일
2026.05.26마켓 개설일
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 77% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson at 26%, reflecting his 11-point first-round lead on March 3 in the redrawn Dallas-area district, superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), and key endorsements including Texas AFL-CIO, Rep. Jasmine Crockett—who is door-knocking this weekend—and Carlos Quintanilla. Allred launched his first paid digital ad on May 8 calling to abolish ICE, countering Johnson's attacks on his support for ICE-related measures like the Laken Riley Act. High turnout among the district's 55% Hispanic voters could tip this intraparty contest in the safely Democratic seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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