The Texas 30th congressional district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent prior election margins above 80 percent, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the March Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Rev. Frederick Haynes III, while the May Republican runoff selected Everett Jackson. With the general election set for November 3, structural factors such as the district's urban Dallas demographics and historical turnout patterns sustain the wide gap. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require substantial shifts in voter participation or unexpected national events within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,810 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$3,480 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 30th congressional district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent prior election margins above 80 percent, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the March Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Rev. Frederick Haynes III, while the May Republican runoff selected Everett Jackson. With the general election set for November 3, structural factors such as the district's urban Dallas demographics and historical turnout patterns sustain the wide gap. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require substantial shifts in voter participation or unexpected national events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$6,291종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 30th congressional district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent prior election margins above 80 percent, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the March Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Rev. Frederick Haynes III, while the May Republican runoff selected Everett Jackson. With the general election set for November 3, structural factors such as the district's urban Dallas demographics and historical turnout patterns sustain the wide gap. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require substantial shifts in voter participation or unexpected national events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,291종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 30th congressional district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent prior election margins above 80 percent, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the March Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Rev. Frederick Haynes III, while the May Republican runoff selected Everett Jackson. With the general election set for November 3, structural factors such as the district's urban Dallas demographics and historical turnout patterns sustain the wide gap. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require substantial shifts in voter participation or unexpected national events within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문