**No at 99.1% reflects overwhelming trader consensus that a Tesla-xAI merger will not be formally announced by the June 30, 2026 deadline.** xAI was acquired by SpaceX in an all-stock deal that closed in early February 2026, making it a wholly owned subsidiary and rerouting Tesla’s prior $2 billion Series E investment into SpaceX equity. Elon Musk has repeatedly stated there are no current plans for a direct Tesla-xAI combination, including explicit public comments ruling it out in 2025. With only 16 days remaining, completing the necessary corporate approvals, regulatory reviews, shareholder votes for a public company like Tesla, and formal announcements is not feasible. Recent developments, such as SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s June 2026 comments hinting at possible post-IPO integration between Tesla and the combined SpaceX-xAI entity, point to longer timelines rather than an immediate announcement. While Musk-controlled entities have consolidated before, the structural, legal, and timing barriers here are prohibitive. The slim chance of an unforeseen last-minute development remains the only theoretical path to a “Yes,” but market pricing correctly treats that scenario as negligible.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$111,448 거래량
$111,448 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$111,448 거래량
$111,448 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No at 99.1% reflects overwhelming trader consensus that a Tesla-xAI merger will not be formally announced by the June 30, 2026 deadline.**
xAI was acquired by SpaceX in an all-stock deal that closed in early February 2026, making it a wholly owned subsidiary and rerouting Tesla’s prior $2 billion Series E investment into SpaceX equity. Elon Musk has repeatedly stated there are no current plans for a direct Tesla-xAI combination, including explicit public comments ruling it out in 2025. With only 16 days remaining, completing the necessary corporate approvals, regulatory reviews, shareholder votes for a public company like Tesla, and formal announcements is not feasible.
Recent developments, such as SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s June 2026 comments hinting at possible post-IPO integration between Tesla and the combined SpaceX-xAI entity, point to longer timelines rather than an immediate announcement. While Musk-controlled entities have consolidated before, the structural, legal, and timing barriers here are prohibitive. The slim chance of an unforeseen last-minute development remains the only theoretical path to a “Yes,” but market pricing correctly treats that scenario as negligible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 29, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
거래량
$111,448종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No at 99.1% reflects overwhelming trader consensus that a Tesla-xAI merger will not be formally announced by the June 30, 2026 deadline.**
xAI was acquired by SpaceX in an all-stock deal that closed in early February 2026, making it a wholly owned subsidiary and rerouting Tesla’s prior $2 billion Series E investment into SpaceX equity. Elon Musk has repeatedly stated there are no current plans for a direct Tesla-xAI combination, including explicit public comments ruling it out in 2025. With only 16 days remaining, completing the necessary corporate approvals, regulatory reviews, shareholder votes for a public company like Tesla, and formal announcements is not feasible.
Recent developments, such as SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s June 2026 comments hinting at possible post-IPO integration between Tesla and the combined SpaceX-xAI entity, point to longer timelines rather than an immediate announcement. While Musk-controlled entities have consolidated before, the structural, legal, and timing barriers here are prohibitive. The slim chance of an unforeseen last-minute development remains the only theoretical path to a “Yes,” but market pricing correctly treats that scenario as negligible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$111,448종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No at 99.1% reflects overwhelming trader consensus that a Tesla-xAI merger will not be formally announced by the June 30, 2026 deadline.** xAI was acquired by SpaceX in an all-stock deal that closed in early February 2026, making it a wholly owned subsidiary and rerouting Tesla’s prior $2 billion Series E investment into SpaceX equity. Elon Musk has repeatedly stated there are no current plans for a direct Tesla-xAI combination, including explicit public comments ruling it out in 2025. With only 16 days remaining, completing the necessary corporate approvals, regulatory reviews, shareholder votes for a public company like Tesla, and formal announcements is not feasible. Recent developments, such as SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s June 2026 comments hinting at possible post-IPO integration between Tesla and the combined SpaceX-xAI entity, point to longer timelines rather than an immediate announcement. While Musk-controlled entities have consolidated before, the structural, legal, and timing barriers here are prohibitive. The slim chance of an unforeseen last-minute development remains the only theoretical path to a “Yes,” but market pricing correctly treats that scenario as negligible.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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