South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, positioning the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative William Timmons faces primary challengers on June 9 but enters with substantial fundraising and name recognition, while Democrat Courtney McClain, the unopposed nominee, confronts structural barriers including limited resources and the district's voting patterns. Recent legislative discussions on congressional map adjustments have introduced some procedural uncertainty ahead of primaries, though they have not yet altered the core competitive dynamics. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these entrenched factors and the absence of major shifts in recent polling or candidate positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,307 거래량
$11,307 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
$11,307 거래량
$11,307 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$9,045 거래량
89%
Democratic Party
$2,261 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, positioning the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative William Timmons faces primary challengers on June 9 but enters with substantial fundraising and name recognition, while Democrat Courtney McClain, the unopposed nominee, confronts structural barriers including limited resources and the district's voting patterns. Recent legislative discussions on congressional map adjustments have introduced some procedural uncertainty ahead of primaries, though they have not yet altered the core competitive dynamics. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these entrenched factors and the absence of major shifts in recent polling or candidate positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$11,307종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, positioning the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative William Timmons faces primary challengers on June 9 but enters with substantial fundraising and name recognition, while Democrat Courtney McClain, the unopposed nominee, confronts structural barriers including limited resources and the district's voting patterns. Recent legislative discussions on congressional map adjustments have introduced some procedural uncertainty ahead of primaries, though they have not yet altered the core competitive dynamics. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these entrenched factors and the absence of major shifts in recent polling or candidate positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,307종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, positioning the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative William Timmons faces primary challengers on June 9 but enters with substantial fundraising and name recognition, while Democrat Courtney McClain, the unopposed nominee, confronts structural barriers including limited resources and the district's voting patterns. Recent legislative discussions on congressional map adjustments have introduced some procedural uncertainty ahead of primaries, though they have not yet altered the core competitive dynamics. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these entrenched factors and the absence of major shifts in recent polling or candidate positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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