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Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?

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Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$80,946 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$80,946 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between April 29, 2024, and the next UK general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until the next UK general election takes place. If no election takes place by January 31, 2025, and Sunak has remained Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for the entire duration of the market without interruption this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
볼륨
$80,946
종료일
Jan 31, 2025
생성일
Apr 30, 2024, 12:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between April 29, 2024, and the next UK general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until the next UK general election takes place. If no election takes place by January 31, 2025, and Sunak has remained Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for the entire duration of the market without interruption this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between April 29, 2024, and the next UK general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until the next UK general election takes place. If no election takes place by January 31, 2025, and Sunak has remained Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for the entire duration of the market without interruption this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
볼륨
$80,946
종료일
Jan 31, 2025
생성일
Apr 30, 2024, 12:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between April 29, 2024, and the next UK general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until the next UK general election takes place. If no election takes place by January 31, 2025, and Sunak has remained Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for the entire duration of the market without interruption this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?" has generated $80.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.