Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+4 partisan voter index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner, who captured 58 percent of the vote in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and enters the November 3 general election against Republican primary contenders including physician Stephen Skoly and Victor Mellor. Limited fundraising and name recognition among Republican candidates, combined with the district’s historical voting patterns, have produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP primary performer, or unexpected retirement by the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though structural advantages continue to anchor current market positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,335 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$930 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+4 partisan voter index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner, who captured 58 percent of the vote in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and enters the November 3 general election against Republican primary contenders including physician Stephen Skoly and Victor Mellor. Limited fundraising and name recognition among Republican candidates, combined with the district’s historical voting patterns, have produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP primary performer, or unexpected retirement by the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though structural advantages continue to anchor current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$3,265종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+4 partisan voter index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner, who captured 58 percent of the vote in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and enters the November 3 general election against Republican primary contenders including physician Stephen Skoly and Victor Mellor. Limited fundraising and name recognition among Republican candidates, combined with the district’s historical voting patterns, have produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP primary performer, or unexpected retirement by the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though structural advantages continue to anchor current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,265종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+4 partisan voter index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner, who captured 58 percent of the vote in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and enters the November 3 general election against Republican primary contenders including physician Stephen Skoly and Victor Mellor. Limited fundraising and name recognition among Republican candidates, combined with the district’s historical voting patterns, have produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP primary performer, or unexpected retirement by the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though structural advantages continue to anchor current market positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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