Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has elected Democrats continuously since the 1990s, giving the party a structural edge in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner, who won 58 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the September primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive Republican challengers with broad support. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability because historical turnout, district demographics, and early-cycle indicators have shown little movement toward the opposing party. A national Republican surge or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require substantial shifts to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,592 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$1,112 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has elected Democrats continuously since the 1990s, giving the party a structural edge in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner, who won 58 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the September primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive Republican challengers with broad support. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability because historical turnout, district demographics, and early-cycle indicators have shown little movement toward the opposing party. A national Republican surge or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require substantial shifts to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$3,704종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has elected Democrats continuously since the 1990s, giving the party a structural edge in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner, who won 58 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the September primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive Republican challengers with broad support. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability because historical turnout, district demographics, and early-cycle indicators have shown little movement toward the opposing party. A national Republican surge or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require substantial shifts to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,704종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has elected Democrats continuously since the 1990s, giving the party a structural edge in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner, who won 58 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the September primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive Republican challengers with broad support. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability because historical turnout, district demographics, and early-cycle indicators have shown little movement toward the opposing party. A national Republican surge or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require substantial shifts to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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