Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in 2002 and unopposed in 2024, faces a June 16 primary challenge from Wade Burleson, while Democratic primary candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson prepare for the November general. Historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and past turnout trends limit Democratic competitiveness in this western Oklahoma district encompassing Enid, Stillwater, and the Panhandle. An unexpected primary result or broader national shifts could introduce volatility, though structural barriers continue to shape current positioning ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$86,661 거래량
$86,661 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
6%
$86,661 거래량
$86,661 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$46,388 거래량
94%
민주당
$40,273 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in 2002 and unopposed in 2024, faces a June 16 primary challenge from Wade Burleson, while Democratic primary candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson prepare for the November general. Historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and past turnout trends limit Democratic competitiveness in this western Oklahoma district encompassing Enid, Stillwater, and the Panhandle. An unexpected primary result or broader national shifts could introduce volatility, though structural barriers continue to shape current positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$86,661종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in 2002 and unopposed in 2024, faces a June 16 primary challenge from Wade Burleson, while Democratic primary candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson prepare for the November general. Historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and past turnout trends limit Democratic competitiveness in this western Oklahoma district encompassing Enid, Stillwater, and the Panhandle. An unexpected primary result or broader national shifts could introduce volatility, though structural barriers continue to shape current positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$86,661종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in 2002 and unopposed in 2024, faces a June 16 primary challenge from Wade Burleson, while Democratic primary candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson prepare for the November general. Historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and past turnout trends limit Democratic competitiveness in this western Oklahoma district encompassing Enid, Stillwater, and the Panhandle. An unexpected primary result or broader national shifts could introduce volatility, though structural barriers continue to shape current positioning ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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