Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing parts of Cuyahoga County including Cleveland, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean based on voter registration and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with roughly 85-88% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner advanced from his primary. These outcomes, combined with the district's electoral history and lack of competitive indicators, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors limit such scenarios.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,220 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$2,035 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing parts of Cuyahoga County including Cleveland, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean based on voter registration and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with roughly 85-88% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner advanced from his primary. These outcomes, combined with the district's electoral history and lack of competitive indicators, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors limit such scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$5,255종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing parts of Cuyahoga County including Cleveland, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean based on voter registration and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with roughly 85-88% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner advanced from his primary. These outcomes, combined with the district's electoral history and lack of competitive indicators, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors limit such scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,255종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing parts of Cuyahoga County including Cleveland, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean based on voter registration and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with roughly 85-88% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner advanced from his primary. These outcomes, combined with the district's electoral history and lack of competitive indicators, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors limit such scenarios.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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