Incumbent Republican David Taylor secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli in the November general election for Ohio's 2nd congressional district. The seat's consistent R+24 partisan lean, reflected in Taylor's 2024 victory margin exceeding 47 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 92.5 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican. Factors that could narrow the margin include significant national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited room for such reversals absent major unforeseen developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$51,648 거래량
$51,648 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
7%
$51,648 거래량
$51,648 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$17,085 거래량
93%
민주당
$34,563 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli in the November general election for Ohio's 2nd congressional district. The seat's consistent R+24 partisan lean, reflected in Taylor's 2024 victory margin exceeding 47 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 92.5 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican. Factors that could narrow the margin include significant national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited room for such reversals absent major unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$51,648종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli in the November general election for Ohio's 2nd congressional district. The seat's consistent R+24 partisan lean, reflected in Taylor's 2024 victory margin exceeding 47 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 92.5 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican. Factors that could narrow the margin include significant national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited room for such reversals absent major unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$51,648종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Taylor secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli in the November general election for Ohio's 2nd congressional district. The seat's consistent R+24 partisan lean, reflected in Taylor's 2024 victory margin exceeding 47 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 92.5 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican. Factors that could narrow the margin include significant national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited room for such reversals absent major unforeseen developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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