New York’s 13th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle with a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent majorities in recent elections. Incumbent Democrat Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary against several challengers, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic due to minimal Republican candidate recruitment and limited party infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.5% because the general-election environment offers no credible opposition and aligns with longstanding voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented turnout shift or a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee—developments that remain low-probability events under current conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$32,814 거래량
$32,814 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
96%
공화당
5%
$32,814 거래량
$32,814 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$20,772 거래량
96%
공화당
$12,042 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle with a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent majorities in recent elections. Incumbent Democrat Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary against several challengers, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic due to minimal Republican candidate recruitment and limited party infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.5% because the general-election environment offers no credible opposition and aligns with longstanding voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented turnout shift or a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee—developments that remain low-probability events under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$32,814종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle with a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent majorities in recent elections. Incumbent Democrat Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary against several challengers, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic due to minimal Republican candidate recruitment and limited party infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.5% because the general-election environment offers no credible opposition and aligns with longstanding voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented turnout shift or a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee—developments that remain low-probability events under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$32,814종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle with a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent majorities in recent elections. Incumbent Democrat Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary against several challengers, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic due to minimal Republican candidate recruitment and limited party infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.5% because the general-election environment offers no credible opposition and aligns with longstanding voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented turnout shift or a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee—developments that remain low-probability events under current conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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