The closely contested Nevada 3rd congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Susie Lee seeking re-election against a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the June 9 primaries. Recent candidate filing has produced multiple Democratic challengers alongside Republicans including Jeff Gunter, Tera Anderson, and Marty O’Donnell, keeping the seat in play despite its Lean Democratic rating from nonpartisan forecasters. Trader positioning reflects the district’s narrow partisan voting index and the potential for Republican gains tied to Governor Joe Lombardo’s statewide performance, while Lee benefits from incumbency and established fundraising in the western Las Vegas suburbs. Upcoming primary outcomes and general election turnout dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
46%
Republican Party
37%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$332 거래량
46%
Republican Party
$90 거래량
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely contested Nevada 3rd congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Susie Lee seeking re-election against a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the June 9 primaries. Recent candidate filing has produced multiple Democratic challengers alongside Republicans including Jeff Gunter, Tera Anderson, and Marty O’Donnell, keeping the seat in play despite its Lean Democratic rating from nonpartisan forecasters. Trader positioning reflects the district’s narrow partisan voting index and the potential for Republican gains tied to Governor Joe Lombardo’s statewide performance, while Lee benefits from incumbency and established fundraising in the western Las Vegas suburbs. Upcoming primary outcomes and general election turnout dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
거래량
$422종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely contested Nevada 3rd congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Susie Lee seeking re-election against a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the June 9 primaries. Recent candidate filing has produced multiple Democratic challengers alongside Republicans including Jeff Gunter, Tera Anderson, and Marty O’Donnell, keeping the seat in play despite its Lean Democratic rating from nonpartisan forecasters. Trader positioning reflects the district’s narrow partisan voting index and the potential for Republican gains tied to Governor Joe Lombardo’s statewide performance, while Lee benefits from incumbency and established fundraising in the western Las Vegas suburbs. Upcoming primary outcomes and general election turnout dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$422종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely contested Nevada 3rd congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Susie Lee seeking re-election against a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the June 9 primaries. Recent candidate filing has produced multiple Democratic challengers alongside Republicans including Jeff Gunter, Tera Anderson, and Marty O’Donnell, keeping the seat in play despite its Lean Democratic rating from nonpartisan forecasters. Trader positioning reflects the district’s narrow partisan voting index and the potential for Republican gains tied to Governor Joe Lombardo’s statewide performance, while Lee benefits from incumbency and established fundraising in the western Las Vegas suburbs. Upcoming primary outcomes and general election turnout dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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