Trader consensus favors Jose Mourinho at 67.5% implied probability as Real Madrid's next head coach, driven by April 28 reports naming him president Florentino Pérez's preferred replacement for current interim boss Álvaro Arbeloa amid ongoing dressing room unrest and a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich. Arbeloa, promoted from Castilla in January after Xabi Alonso's sacking, holds 49.5% due to his club ties and potential extension despite poor La Liga form and defensive frailties. Deschamps (16.6%) gains traction from France national team success, while Pochettino (9.3%) and Iraola (9.0%) reflect USMNT and Premier League appeal, but Pérez's Mourinho affinity—rooted in their 2010-13 tenure and "unfinished business"—dominates sentiment post-UCL disappointment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트조세 무리뉴 68%
디디에 데샹 16.4%
마우리시오 포체티노 9.6%
위르겐 클롭 8%
$65,525 거래량
$65,525 거래량
조세 무리뉴
68%
디디에 데샹
16%
마우리시오 포체티노
10%
위르겐 클롭
8%
지네딘 지단
4%
줄리안 나겔스만
4%
마시밀리아노 알레그리
2%
우나이 에메리
2%
루이스 엔리케
1%
엔초 마레스카
1%
리오넬 스칼로니
1%
토마스 투헬
1%
미켈 아르테타
1%
올리버 글라스너
1%
로베르토 데 체르비
<1%
안도니 이라우라
8%
조세 무리뉴 68%
디디에 데샹 16.4%
마우리시오 포체티노 9.6%
위르겐 클롭 8%
$65,525 거래량
$65,525 거래량
조세 무리뉴
68%
디디에 데샹
16%
마우리시오 포체티노
10%
위르겐 클롭
8%
지네딘 지단
4%
줄리안 나겔스만
4%
마시밀리아노 알레그리
2%
우나이 에메리
2%
루이스 엔리케
1%
엔초 마레스카
1%
리오넬 스칼로니
1%
토마스 투헬
1%
미켈 아르테타
1%
올리버 글라스너
1%
로베르토 데 체르비
<1%
안도니 이라우라
8%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Jose Mourinho at 67.5% implied probability as Real Madrid's next head coach, driven by April 28 reports naming him president Florentino Pérez's preferred replacement for current interim boss Álvaro Arbeloa amid ongoing dressing room unrest and a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich. Arbeloa, promoted from Castilla in January after Xabi Alonso's sacking, holds 49.5% due to his club ties and potential extension despite poor La Liga form and defensive frailties. Deschamps (16.6%) gains traction from France national team success, while Pochettino (9.3%) and Iraola (9.0%) reflect USMNT and Premier League appeal, but Pérez's Mourinho affinity—rooted in their 2010-13 tenure and "unfinished business"—dominates sentiment post-UCL disappointment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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