Trader consensus gives a slight edge to no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 51.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of formal labor negotiations between MLB owners and the MLBPA despite late-April reports signaling talks could start in May or June. Central tensions revolve around owners' push for a salary cap alongside the existing luxury tax and competitive balance tax, which players staunchly oppose, echoing the 99-day 2022 lockout. With seven months remaining before the current deal expires at 11:59 p.m. ET, the market stays tightly balanced amid MLBPA's financial preparations for prolonged bargaining; early progress in preliminary meetings could boost Yes odds, while an impasse would solidify No sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.01
신규
신규
2026.12.01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus gives a slight edge to no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 51.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of formal labor negotiations between MLB owners and the MLBPA despite late-April reports signaling talks could start in May or June. Central tensions revolve around owners' push for a salary cap alongside the existing luxury tax and competitive balance tax, which players staunchly oppose, echoing the 99-day 2022 lockout. With seven months remaining before the current deal expires at 11:59 p.m. ET, the market stays tightly balanced amid MLBPA's financial preparations for prolonged bargaining; early progress in preliminary meetings could boost Yes odds, while an impasse would solidify No sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
거래량
$6,183종료일
2026.12.01마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus gives a slight edge to no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 51.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of formal labor negotiations between MLB owners and the MLBPA despite late-April reports signaling talks could start in May or June. Central tensions revolve around owners' push for a salary cap alongside the existing luxury tax and competitive balance tax, which players staunchly oppose, echoing the 99-day 2022 lockout. With seven months remaining before the current deal expires at 11:59 p.m. ET, the market stays tightly balanced amid MLBPA's financial preparations for prolonged bargaining; early progress in preliminary meetings could boost Yes odds, while an impasse would solidify No sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$6,183종료일
2026.12.01마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives a slight edge to no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 51.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of formal labor negotiations between MLB owners and the MLBPA despite late-April reports signaling talks could start in May or June. Central tensions revolve around owners' push for a salary cap alongside the existing luxury tax and competitive balance tax, which players staunchly oppose, echoing the 99-day 2022 lockout. With seven months remaining before the current deal expires at 11:59 p.m. ET, the market stays tightly balanced amid MLBPA's financial preparations for prolonged bargaining; early progress in preliminary meetings could boost Yes odds, while an impasse would solidify No sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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