Trader consensus prices "No" at 84.5% for a new WHO-designated COVID variant of concern before 2027, driven by the lack of escalation for recent Omicron sublineages like BA.3.2 ("Cicada"), which emerged in March 2026 and now circulates in over 30 U.S. states and 23 countries. Despite its mutations suggesting immune escape and rapid spread, early data shows no rise in severity, hospitalizations, or deaths, bolstered by widespread vaccination and hybrid immunity. WHO classifies it as a variant under monitoring, not concern, amid robust global surveillance; only a dramatic surge in transmissibility or vaccine failure could shift odds before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$235,425 거래량
$235,425 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$235,425 거래량
$235,425 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Trader consensus prices "No" at 84.5% for a new WHO-designated COVID variant of concern before 2027, driven by the lack of escalation for recent Omicron sublineages like BA.3.2 ("Cicada"), which emerged in March 2026 and now circulates in over 30 U.S. states and 23 countries. Despite its mutations suggesting immune escape and rapid spread, early data shows no rise in severity, hospitalizations, or deaths, bolstered by widespread vaccination and hybrid immunity. WHO classifies it as a variant under monitoring, not concern, amid robust global surveillance; only a dramatic surge in transmissibility or vaccine failure could shift odds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
마켓 개설일: Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
거래량
$235,425종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Trader consensus prices "No" at 84.5% for a new WHO-designated COVID variant of concern before 2027, driven by the lack of escalation for recent Omicron sublineages like BA.3.2 ("Cicada"), which emerged in March 2026 and now circulates in over 30 U.S. states and 23 countries. Despite its mutations suggesting immune escape and rapid spread, early data shows no rise in severity, hospitalizations, or deaths, bolstered by widespread vaccination and hybrid immunity. WHO classifies it as a variant under monitoring, not concern, amid robust global surveillance; only a dramatic surge in transmissibility or vaccine failure could shift odds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
거래량
$235,425종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 84.5% for a new WHO-designated COVID variant of concern before 2027, driven by the lack of escalation for recent Omicron sublineages like BA.3.2 ("Cicada"), which emerged in March 2026 and now circulates in over 30 U.S. states and 23 countries. Despite its mutations suggesting immune escape and rapid spread, early data shows no rise in severity, hospitalizations, or deaths, bolstered by widespread vaccination and hybrid immunity. WHO classifies it as a variant under monitoring, not concern, amid robust global surveillance; only a dramatic surge in transmissibility or vaccine failure could shift odds before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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