**Incumbent Rep. Addison McDowell (R) holds a commanding trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win North Carolina's 6th Congressional District, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean following 2025 redistricting that transformed it from competitive to safely GOP.** McDowell, first elected in 2024 with a 17-point margin, faced no primary opposition on March 3, while High Point Mayor Cyril Jefferson (D) emerged from a multi-candidate Democratic primary. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, the district's partisan voter index and historical base rates favor incumbents in such matchups. Absent recent polling or catalysts in the past 30 days, market pricing reflects the challenger's uphill path amid steady national House dynamics, with resolution on certified November 3 results.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,811 거래량
$15,811 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
79%
민주당
17%
$15,811 거래량
$15,811 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,982 거래량
79%
민주당
$6,829 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Addison McDowell (R) holds a commanding trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win North Carolina's 6th Congressional District, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean following 2025 redistricting that transformed it from competitive to safely GOP.** McDowell, first elected in 2024 with a 17-point margin, faced no primary opposition on March 3, while High Point Mayor Cyril Jefferson (D) emerged from a multi-candidate Democratic primary. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, the district's partisan voter index and historical base rates favor incumbents in such matchups. Absent recent polling or catalysts in the past 30 days, market pricing reflects the challenger's uphill path amid steady national House dynamics, with resolution on certified November 3 results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$15,811종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Addison McDowell (R) holds a commanding trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win North Carolina's 6th Congressional District, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean following 2025 redistricting that transformed it from competitive to safely GOP.** McDowell, first elected in 2024 with a 17-point margin, faced no primary opposition on March 3, while High Point Mayor Cyril Jefferson (D) emerged from a multi-candidate Democratic primary. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, the district's partisan voter index and historical base rates favor incumbents in such matchups. Absent recent polling or catalysts in the past 30 days, market pricing reflects the challenger's uphill path amid steady national House dynamics, with resolution on certified November 3 results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,811종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Addison McDowell (R) holds a commanding trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win North Carolina's 6th Congressional District, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean following 2025 redistricting that transformed it from competitive to safely GOP.** McDowell, first elected in 2024 with a 17-point margin, faced no primary opposition on March 3, while High Point Mayor Cyril Jefferson (D) emerged from a multi-candidate Democratic primary. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, the district's partisan voter index and historical base rates favor incumbents in such matchups. Absent recent polling or catalysts in the past 30 days, market pricing reflects the challenger's uphill path amid steady national House dynamics, with resolution on certified November 3 results.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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