LeBron James enters unrestricted free agency after exercising his 2025-26 player option and completing another productive season at age 41, anchoring Lakers odds at 57% amid ongoing contract talks that include proposed two-year deals near $50 million with a player option and no-trade clause. The Knicks at 25.9% and Cavaliers at 21.5% reflect their status as Eastern Conference contenders with feasible paths via mid-level exceptions or sign-and-trades, aligning with reports of James prioritizing winning over maximum salary. Warriors positioning at 12.8% ties to Steph Curry connections and Golden State's flexibility under the non-taxpayer mid-level exception, while lower probabilities for teams like the Heat, Spurs, and Rockets stem from cap constraints and weaker contention windows that limit realistic offers without major roster overhauls.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Los Angeles Lakers 50%
Golden State Warriors 19.3%
San Antonio Spurs 4.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers 4%
$28,227 거래량
$28,227 거래량
Los Angeles Lakers
57%
Golden State Warriors
13%
San Antonio Spurs
5%
Cleveland Cavaliers
22%
Houston Rockets
2%
Boston Celtics
2%
Memphis Grizzlies
2%
Oklahoma City Thunder
1%
Los Angeles Clippers
1%
Phoenix Suns
1%
Detroit Pistons
1%
Philadelphia 76ers
1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Washington Wizards
8%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
New York Knicks
28%
Los Angeles Lakers 50%
Golden State Warriors 19.3%
San Antonio Spurs 4.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers 4%
$28,227 거래량
$28,227 거래량
Los Angeles Lakers
57%
Golden State Warriors
13%
San Antonio Spurs
5%
Cleveland Cavaliers
22%
Houston Rockets
2%
Boston Celtics
2%
Memphis Grizzlies
2%
Oklahoma City Thunder
1%
Los Angeles Clippers
1%
Phoenix Suns
1%
Detroit Pistons
1%
Philadelphia 76ers
1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Washington Wizards
8%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
New York Knicks
28%
If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 9, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...LeBron James enters unrestricted free agency after exercising his 2025-26 player option and completing another productive season at age 41, anchoring Lakers odds at 57% amid ongoing contract talks that include proposed two-year deals near $50 million with a player option and no-trade clause. The Knicks at 25.9% and Cavaliers at 21.5% reflect their status as Eastern Conference contenders with feasible paths via mid-level exceptions or sign-and-trades, aligning with reports of James prioritizing winning over maximum salary. Warriors positioning at 12.8% ties to Steph Curry connections and Golden State's flexibility under the non-taxpayer mid-level exception, while lower probabilities for teams like the Heat, Spurs, and Rockets stem from cap constraints and weaker contention windows that limit realistic offers without major roster overhauls.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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