Redistricting remains the central driver in Missouri's 5th congressional district race, where a 2025 map enacted by Republican lawmakers and signed by Governor Mike Kehoe expanded the district eastward and shifted its partisan balance toward Republicans. Trader odds stay tightly matched because the map faces ongoing legal challenges and a citizen referendum effort that could restore the prior boundaries before the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver has filed for re-election and faces primary opponents, while a crowded Republican primary includes state Sen. Rick Brattin and others positioning for the seat. Primary elections on August 4 and any court or ballot developments through the fall could widen the gap between the parties by clarifying the final district lines and nominee fields.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
31%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$1,729 거래량
71%
Democratic Party
$1,171 거래량
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting remains the central driver in Missouri's 5th congressional district race, where a 2025 map enacted by Republican lawmakers and signed by Governor Mike Kehoe expanded the district eastward and shifted its partisan balance toward Republicans. Trader odds stay tightly matched because the map faces ongoing legal challenges and a citizen referendum effort that could restore the prior boundaries before the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver has filed for re-election and faces primary opponents, while a crowded Republican primary includes state Sen. Rick Brattin and others positioning for the seat. Primary elections on August 4 and any court or ballot developments through the fall could widen the gap between the parties by clarifying the final district lines and nominee fields.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
거래량
$2,901종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting remains the central driver in Missouri's 5th congressional district race, where a 2025 map enacted by Republican lawmakers and signed by Governor Mike Kehoe expanded the district eastward and shifted its partisan balance toward Republicans. Trader odds stay tightly matched because the map faces ongoing legal challenges and a citizen referendum effort that could restore the prior boundaries before the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver has filed for re-election and faces primary opponents, while a crowded Republican primary includes state Sen. Rick Brattin and others positioning for the seat. Primary elections on August 4 and any court or ballot developments through the fall could widen the gap between the parties by clarifying the final district lines and nominee fields.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,901종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting remains the central driver in Missouri's 5th congressional district race, where a 2025 map enacted by Republican lawmakers and signed by Governor Mike Kehoe expanded the district eastward and shifted its partisan balance toward Republicans. Trader odds stay tightly matched because the map faces ongoing legal challenges and a citizen referendum effort that could restore the prior boundaries before the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver has filed for re-election and faces primary opponents, while a crowded Republican primary includes state Sen. Rick Brattin and others positioning for the seat. Primary elections on August 4 and any court or ballot developments through the fall could widen the gap between the parties by clarifying the final district lines and nominee fields.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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