Missouri's MO-05 House race remains a dead heat at 49.5% odds for each party due to a newly upheld Republican-drawn congressional map that dilutes the Kansas City-based Democratic stronghold by incorporating rural Republican-leaning areas, transforming it from a safe blue seat to a battleground. Incumbent Rep. Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election amid legal challenges resolved in late March 2026 by the state Supreme Court affirming mid-decade redistricting and judges upholding the map against compactness and referendum suits. A crowded Republican primary featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin—recently endorsed by Club for Growth—against challengers like Taylor Burks adds uncertainty, while Cleaver holds incumbency advantages. Separation could emerge from the August 4 primary outcome, fundraising edges, or shifts in midterm turnout among swing voters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
41%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$1,727 거래량
56%
Democratic Party
$1,156 거래량
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's MO-05 House race remains a dead heat at 49.5% odds for each party due to a newly upheld Republican-drawn congressional map that dilutes the Kansas City-based Democratic stronghold by incorporating rural Republican-leaning areas, transforming it from a safe blue seat to a battleground. Incumbent Rep. Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election amid legal challenges resolved in late March 2026 by the state Supreme Court affirming mid-decade redistricting and judges upholding the map against compactness and referendum suits. A crowded Republican primary featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin—recently endorsed by Club for Growth—against challengers like Taylor Burks adds uncertainty, while Cleaver holds incumbency advantages. Separation could emerge from the August 4 primary outcome, fundraising edges, or shifts in midterm turnout among swing voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
거래량
$2,882종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's MO-05 House race remains a dead heat at 49.5% odds for each party due to a newly upheld Republican-drawn congressional map that dilutes the Kansas City-based Democratic stronghold by incorporating rural Republican-leaning areas, transforming it from a safe blue seat to a battleground. Incumbent Rep. Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election amid legal challenges resolved in late March 2026 by the state Supreme Court affirming mid-decade redistricting and judges upholding the map against compactness and referendum suits. A crowded Republican primary featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin—recently endorsed by Club for Growth—against challengers like Taylor Burks adds uncertainty, while Cleaver holds incumbency advantages. Separation could emerge from the August 4 primary outcome, fundraising edges, or shifts in midterm turnout among swing voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,882종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's MO-05 House race remains a dead heat at 49.5% odds for each party due to a newly upheld Republican-drawn congressional map that dilutes the Kansas City-based Democratic stronghold by incorporating rural Republican-leaning areas, transforming it from a safe blue seat to a battleground. Incumbent Rep. Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election amid legal challenges resolved in late March 2026 by the state Supreme Court affirming mid-decade redistricting and judges upholding the map against compactness and referendum suits. A crowded Republican primary featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin—recently endorsed by Club for Growth—against challengers like Taylor Burks adds uncertainty, while Cleaver holds incumbency advantages. Separation could emerge from the August 4 primary outcome, fundraising edges, or shifts in midterm turnout among swing voters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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