Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd district, a suburban Minneapolis area rated D+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morrison secured 58.4 percent in 2024, and forecasters see limited crossover potential given consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles. The Republican primary field remains thin, featuring Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock with primaries set for August 11, 2026. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Democratic reflects the district’s structural tilt and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. A national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$5,309 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$3,893 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd district, a suburban Minneapolis area rated D+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morrison secured 58.4 percent in 2024, and forecasters see limited crossover potential given consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles. The Republican primary field remains thin, featuring Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock with primaries set for August 11, 2026. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Democratic reflects the district’s structural tilt and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. A national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$9,202종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd district, a suburban Minneapolis area rated D+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morrison secured 58.4 percent in 2024, and forecasters see limited crossover potential given consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles. The Republican primary field remains thin, featuring Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock with primaries set for August 11, 2026. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Democratic reflects the district’s structural tilt and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. A national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,202종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd district, a suburban Minneapolis area rated D+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morrison secured 58.4 percent in 2024, and forecasters see limited crossover potential given consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles. The Republican primary field remains thin, featuring Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock with primaries set for August 11, 2026. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Democratic reflects the district’s structural tilt and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. A national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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